Policy implication of nuclear energy's potential for energy optimization and CO2 mitigation: A case study of Fujian, China

被引：23

作者：

Peng, Lihong ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Yi ^{[1
]}

Li, Feng ^{[1
]}

Wang, Qian ^{[2
]}

Chen, Xiaochou ^{[3
]}

Yu, Ang ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Xiamen Univ, Coll Environm & Ecol, Room A119,Xiangan South Rd, Xiamen 361102, Peoples R China

[2] Lanzhou Univ, Sci Res Dept, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China

[3] Xiamen Univ, Informat & Network Ctr, Xiamen 361005, Peoples R China

来源：

NUCLEAR ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY | 2019年 / 51卷 / 04期

关键词：

CO2 intensity reduction; Energy structure optimization; Nuclear energy; CO2 intensity energy policy response forecasting model; CARBON INTENSITY; EMISSIONS; REDUCTION; DECOMPOSITION; CONSUMPTION; EXAMPLE; GROWTH; TARGET; JAPAN; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1016/j.net.2019.01.016

中图分类号：

TL [原子能技术]; O571 [原子核物理学];

学科分类号：

0827 ; 082701 ;

摘要：

China is undertaking an energy reform from fossil fuels to clean energy to accomplish CO2 intensity (CI) reduction commitments. After hydropower, nuclear energy is potential based on breadthwise comparison with the world and analysis of government energy consumption (EC) plan. This paper establishes a CI energy policy response forecasting model based on national and provincial EC plans. This model is then applied in Fujian Province to predict its CI from 2016 to 2020. The result shows that CI declines at a range of 43%-53% compared to that in 2005 considering five conditions of economic growth in 2020. Furthermore, Fujian will achieve the national goals in advance because EC is controlled and nuclear energy ratio increased to 16.4% (the proportion of non-fossil in primary energy is 26.7%). Finally, the development of nuclear energy in China and the world are analyzed, and several policies for energy optimization and CI reduction are proposed. (C) 2019 Korean Nuclear Society, Published by Elsevier Korea LLC.

引用

页码：1154 / 1162

页数：9

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