A solution to the global identification problem in DSGE models

被引:0
|
作者
Kociecki, Andrzej [1 ]
Kolasa, Marcin [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Warsaw, Fac Econ Sci, Ul Dluga 44-50, PL-00241 Warsaw, Poland
[2] SGH Warsaw Sch Econ, Dept Quantitat Econ, Al Niepodleglosci 128, PL-02554 Warsaw, Poland
[3] Int Monetary Fund, 700 19th St,NW, Washington, DC 20431 USA
关键词
Global identification; State space systems; DSGE models; Grobner basis; MONETARY-POLICY; IDENTIFIABILITY; EQUILIBRIA; ALGORITHM;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105477
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We develop an analytical framework to study global identification in structural models with forward-looking expectations. Our identification condition combines the similarity transformation linking the observationally equivalent state space systems with the constraints imposed on them by the model parameters. The key step of solving the identification problem then reduces to finding all roots of a system of polynomial equations. We show how it can be done using the concept of a Grobner basis and recently developed algorithms to compute it analytically. In contrast to frameworks relying on numerical search, our approach can prove whether a model is identified or not at a given parameter point, explicitly delivering the complete set of observationally equivalent parameter vectors. We present the solution to the global identification problem for several popular dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models.& COPY; 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页数:27
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