The Operational Codes of Pacific Island Countries' Leaders: Beliefs about the World amidst Climate Change

Small island states such as Tuvalu face major risks due to anthropogenic climate change and rise in sea levels. Whereas these microstates face an existential crisis, there is scant interest in understanding how their leaders view the world. This paper takes a political leadership approach and explores the belief systems of Pacific Island countries (PICs). Drawing from the United Nations plenary addresses of the PICs' leaders, it uses the operational code construct to assess their general and climate change-specific beliefs. Given their small state status in world politics and imminent threats to the viability of their communities, how do the PICs view the world and specifically the global politics of climate change? The findings suggest the PICs leaders have a more hostile view concerning climate change, with few exceptions they believe the PICs have less control over climate change matters, and again, with few exceptions, the PICs have less cooperative strategies in the global politics of climate change. This paper captures a preliminary account of beliefs about climate change, presents an empirical foundation to trace these in the Pacific Island states, and suggests venues for future research.