Uncertain hypothesis testing and its application

被引:2
|
作者
Zhang, Guidong [1 ]
Shi, Yuxin [1 ]
Sheng, Yuhong [1 ]
机构
[1] Xinjiang Univ, Coll Math & Syst Sci, Urumqi 830046, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Uncertain statistics; Uncertain differential equations; Uncertain hypothesis testing; Parameter estimation; Interval estimation;
D O I
10.1007/s00500-022-07748-8
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
A common method of testing the reasonableness of estimates of unknown parameters in uncertain differential equations is to judge them by the alpha\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\alpha $$\end{document}-path of the differential equation. If all observations fall between the alpha\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\alpha $$\end{document}-paths, the estimates are considered reasonable. This paper introduces uncertain hypothesis testing into uncertain differential equations to test the reasonableness of the estimates, which is another new approach. Further, the concept of interval estimation of unknown parameters for uncertain differential equations is introduced. Some numerical examples are given to verify the feasibility of the method. The uncertain differential equations are also used to model global average temperature data, and the results are satisfactory.
引用
收藏
页码:2357 / 2367
页数:11
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