Image-based time series forecasting: A deep convolutional neural network approach

被引:14
|
作者
Semenoglou, Artemios-Anargyros [1 ]
Spiliotis, Evangelos [1 ]
Assimakopoulos, Vassilios [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Tech Univ Athens, Sch Elect & Comp Engn, Forecasting & Strategy Unit, Athens, Greece
关键词
Time series; Forecasting; Images; Deep Learning; Convolutional Neural Networks; M competitions; MODEL; COMPETITION; ACCURACY;
D O I
10.1016/j.neunet.2022.10.006
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Inspired by the successful use of deep learning in computer vision, in this paper we introduce ForCNN, a novel deep learning method for univariate time series forecasting that mixes convolutional and dense layers in a single neural network. Instead of using conventional, numeric representations of time series data as input to the network, the proposed method considers visual representations of it in the form of images to directly produce point forecasts. Three variants of deep convolutional neural networks are examined to process the images, the first based on VGG-19, the second on ResNet-50, while the third on a self-designed architecture. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated using time series of the M3 and M4 forecasting competitions. Our results suggest that image-based time series forecasting methods can outperform both standard and state-of-the-art forecasting models. (c) 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:39 / 53
页数:15
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