Enhancing stock market anomalies with machine learning

被引:6
|
作者
Azevedo, Vitor [1 ]
Hoegner, Christopher [2 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Kaiserslautern, Dept Business Studies & Econ, Gottlieb Daimler Str 42, D-67663 Kaiserslautern, Germany
[2] McKinsey & Co Inc, Sophienstr 26, D-80333 Munich, Germany
关键词
Anomalies; Machine learning models; Efficient market hypothesis; Asset pricing models; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE; CROSS-SECTION; PRESIDENTIAL-ADDRESS; MOVEMENT DIRECTION; INFORMATION; EQUILIBRIUM; RISK; PORTFOLIOS; EFFICIENCY; RETURNS;
D O I
10.1007/s11156-022-01099-z
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We examine the predictability of 299 capital market anomalies enhanced by 30 machine learning approaches and over 250 models in a dataset with more than 500 million firm-month anomaly observations. We find significant monthly (out-of-sample) returns of around 1.8-2.0%, and over 80% of the models yield returns equal to or larger than our linearly constructed baseline factor. For the best performing models, the risk-adjusted returns are significant across alternative asset pricing models, considering transaction costs with round-trip costs of up to 2% and including only anomalies after publication. Our results indicate that non-linear models can reveal market inefficiencies (mispricing) that are hard to conciliate with risk-based explanations.
引用
收藏
页码:195 / 230
页数:36
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Enhancing stock market anomalies with machine learning
    Vitor Azevedo
    Christopher Hoegner
    [J]. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2023, 60 : 195 - 230
  • [2] Stock market anomalies and machine learning across the globe
    Azevedo, Vitor
    Kaiser, Georg Sebastian
    Mueller, Sebastian
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ASSET MANAGEMENT, 2023, 24 (05) : 419 - 441
  • [3] Stock market anomalies and machine learning across the globe
    Vitor Azevedo
    Georg Sebastian Kaiser
    Sebastian Mueller
    [J]. Journal of Asset Management, 2023, 24 : 419 - 441
  • [4] Machine Learning and the Stock Market
    Brogaard, Jonathan
    Zareei, Abalfazl
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 2023, 58 (04) : 1431 - 1472
  • [5] Machine learning in the Chinese stock market
    Leippold, Markus
    Wang, Qian
    Zhou, Wenyu
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2022, 145 (02) : 64 - 82
  • [6] Machine Learning Algorithms in Stock Market Prediction
    Potdar, Jayesh
    Mathew, Rejo
    [J]. PROCEEDING OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTER NETWORKS, BIG DATA AND IOT (ICCBI-2018), 2020, 31 : 192 - 197
  • [7] Stock Market Prediction Using Machine Learning
    Parmar, Ishita
    Agarwal, Navanshu
    Saxena, Sheirsh
    Arora, Ridam
    Gupta, Shikhin
    Dhiman, Himanshu
    Chouhan, Lokesh
    [J]. 2018 FIRST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SECURE CYBER COMPUTING AND COMMUNICATIONS (ICSCCC 2018), 2018, : 574 - 576
  • [8] Machine learning in sentiment reconstruction of the simulated stock market
    Goykhman, Mikhail
    Teimouri, Ali
    [J]. PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2018, 492 : 1729 - 1740
  • [9] Stock Market Forecasting Using Machine Learning Models
    Site, Atakan
    Birant, Derya
    Isik, Zerrin
    [J]. 2019 INNOVATIONS IN INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS CONFERENCE (ASYU), 2019, : 318 - 323
  • [10] Nepal Stock Market Movement Prediction with Machine Learning
    Zhao, Shunan
    [J]. 5TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SYSTEM AND DATA MINING (ICISDM 2021), 2021, : 1 - 7