Radiomics Based on DCE-MRI for Predicting Response to Neoadjuvant Therapy in Breast Cancer

Rationale and Objectives: To compare the value of radiomics and diameter% based on pre- and early-treatment dynamic enhanced MR (DCE-MRI) of the breast in predicting response to neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) in breast cancer and to construct a tool for early noninvasive prediction of NAT outcomes. Materials and Methods: Retrospective analysis of clinical and imaging data of 142 patients with primary invasive breast cancer who underwent DCE-MRI before and after two cycles of NAT at our institution. Enroled patients were randomly assigned in a 7:3 ratio to the training group and the test group. Patients were divided into pathological complete response (pCR) and non-pathological complete response groups based on surgical pathology findings after NAT. The maximum diameter relative regression values (Diameter%) before and after treatment were calculated and the conventional imaging Diameter% model was constructed. Based on pre- and early-NAT DCE-MRI, the optimal features of pre-NAT, early-NAT, and delta radiomics were screened using redundancy analysis, least absolute shrinkage, and selection operator methods to construct the corresponding radiomics model and calculate the Radscores. Indicators that were statistically significant in the univariate analysis of clinical data were further screened by stepwise regression and combined with Radscores to construct the fusion model. All models were evaluated and compared. Results: In the test set, the area under the curve (AUC) of the delta radiomics model (0.87) was higher than that of the pre-NAT, early-NAT radiomics models (0.57, 0.78) and the Diameter% model (0.83). The fusion model had the best efficacy in predicting pCR after NAT, with AUCs of 0.91 in the training and test sets. And its nomogram plot showed that Radscore of early-NAT radiomics had the greatest weight. In the test set, the fusion model and Delta radiomics model improved the efficacy of predicting pCR by 35.56% and 14.19%, respectively, compared to the Diameter% model (P = 0 and .039). Clinical decision curves showed the highest overall clinical benefit for the fusion model. Conclusion: Radiomics, especially delta and early-NAT radiomics, may be potential biomarkers for early noninvasive prediction of NAT outcomes. And a fusion model constructed from meaningful clinicopathological indicators combined with radiomics can effectively predict NAT response.