Future prediction of water balance using the SWAT and CA-Markov model using INMCM5 climate projections: a case study of the Silwani watershed (Jharkhand), India

被引：3

作者：

Kumar, Mukesh ^{[1
]}

Mahato, Lakhan Lal ^{[2
]}

Suryavanshi, Shakti ^{[3
]}

Singh, Sudhir Kumar ^{[4
]}

Kundu, Arnab ^{[5
]}

Dutta, Dipanwita ^{[6
,7
]}

Lal, Deepak ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Sam Higginbottom Univ Agr Technol & Sci, Ctr Geospatial Technol, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India

[2] Jharkhand State Watershed Mission, Govt Jharkhand, Rural Dev Dept, Ranchi, Jharkhand, India

[3] Sam Higginbottom Univ Agr Technol & Sci, Dept Soil & Water Conservat Engn, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India

[4] Univ Allahabad, K Banerjee Ctr Atmospher & Ocean Studies, IIDS, Nehru Sci Ctr, Prayagraj, Uttar Pradesh, India

[5] Bankura Univ, Dept Geoinformat, Pandit Raghunath Murmu Smriti Mahavidyalaya, Bankura, West Bengal, India

[6] Vidyasagar Univ, Dept Remote Sensing, Midnapore, West Bengal, India

[7] Vidyasagar Univ, GIS, Midnapore, West Bengal, India

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH | 2023年 / 31卷 / 41期

关键词：

SWAT model; CA-Markov chain model; Recent climate projections; Water balance; Water yield; Percolation; LAND-USE CHANGE; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA; UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS; HEIHE RIVER; IMPACTS; BASIN; CALIBRATION; SIMULATION; STREAMFLOW; REGIME;

D O I：

10.1007/s11356-023-27547-4

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The aim of this research was to simulate the future water balance of the Silwani watershed, Jharkhand, India, under the combined effect of land use and climate change based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov Chain model. The future climate prediction was done based on daily bias-corrected datasets of the INMCM5 climate model with Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 585 (SSP585), which represent the fossil fuel development of the world. After a successful model run, water balance components like surface runoff, groundwater contribution to stream flow, and ET were simulated. The anticipated change in land use/land cover (LULC) between 2020 and 2030 reflects a slight increase (3.9 mm) in groundwater contribution to stream flow while slight decrease in surface runoff (4.8 mm). The result of this research work helps the planners to plan any similar watershed for future conservation.

引用

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页码：54311 / 54324

页数：14

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