Cross-sectional implications of dynamic asset pricing with stochastic volatility and ambiguity aversion

被引:0
|
作者
Lago-Balsalobre, Ruben [1 ]
Rojo-Suarez, Javier [1 ]
Alonso-Conde, Ana B. [1 ]
机构
[1] Rey Juan Carlos Univ, Dept Business Adm, Paseo Artilleros S-N, Madrid 28032, Spain
来源
NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE | 2023年 / 66卷
关键词
Ambiguity; Macroeconomic volatility; Vintage consumption data; Dynamic asset pricing; Economic turmoil; CONSUMPTION-BASED EXPLANATION; LONG-RUN; RISK; UNCERTAINTY; RETURNS; RESOLUTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.najef.2023.101909
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Building on recent research that highlights the importance of macroeconomic volatility and ambiguity aversion in explaining the dynamics of stock returns, in this paper we propose a dy-namic asset pricing model that simultaneously accounts for stochastic macroeconomic volatility and ambiguity, assuming that investors deal with uncertainty about the mechanics of macro-economic fluctuations using first-release consumption and revisions to aggregate consumption on vintage data. Our results show that the proposed model captures a large fraction of the cross-sectional variation of excess returns for a wide range of market anomaly portfolios. Further-more, while the price of risk for ambiguity is positive and significant for the vast majority of assets under study, macroeconomic volatility yields ambiguous outcomes, although it significantly in-creases the explanatory power of the model for specific assets. Our results suggest that macro-economic volatility and ambiguity complement each other in explaining the cross-sectional behavior of stock returns.
引用
收藏
页数:16
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