Building use-inspired species distribution models: Using multiple data types to examine and improve model performance

被引:16
|
作者
Braun, Camrin D. [1 ]
Arostegui, Martin C. [1 ]
Farchadi, Nima [2 ]
Alexander, Michael [3 ]
Afonso, Pedro [1 ,4 ]
Allyn, Andrew [5 ]
Bograd, Steven J.
Brodie, Stephanie [6 ,7 ]
Crear, Daniel P. [8 ]
Culhane, Emmett F. [1 ,9 ]
Curtis, Tobey H. [10 ]
Hazen, Elliott L.
Kerney, Alex [5 ]
Lezama-Ochoa, Nerea
Mills, Katherine E.
Pugh, Dylan [5 ]
Queiroz, Nuno [11 ,12 ]
Scott, James D. [3 ,13 ]
Skomal, Gregory B. [14 ]
Sims, David W. [15 ]
Thorrold, Simon R. [1 ]
Welch, Heather
Young-Morse, Riley [5 ]
Lewison, Rebecca [2 ]
机构
[1] Woods Hole Oceanog Inst, Biol Dept, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA
[2] San Diego State Univ, Inst Ecol Monitoring & Management, San Diego, CA USA
[3] NOAA Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO USA
[4] Univ Azores, Okeanos & Inst Marine Res, Horta, Portugal
[5] Gulf Maine Res Inst, Portland, ME USA
[6] NOAA, Southwest Fisheries Sci Ctr, Environm Res Div, Monterey, CA USA
[7] Univ Calif Santa Cruz, Inst Marine Sci, Santa Cruz, CA USA
[8] Support Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Atlantic Highly Migratory Species Management Div, ECS Fed, Silver Spring, MD USA
[9] MIT, Woods Hole Oceanog Inst Joint Program Oceanog Appl, Cambridge, MA USA
[10] Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Atlantic Highly Migratory Species Management Div, Gloucester, MA USA
[11] Univ Porto, Res Network Biodivers & Evolut Biol, Vairao, Portugal
[12] Marine Biol Assoc UK, Lab, Plymouth, Devon, England
[13] Univ Colorado Boulder, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO USA
[14] Massachusetts Div Marine Fisheries, New Bedford, MA USA
[15] Univ Southampton, Natl Oceanog Ctr Southampton, Ocean & Earth Sci, Southampton, England
基金
美国国家航空航天局;
关键词
climate change; ecological forecasting; highly migratory species; prediction; spatial ecology; species distribution models; SHARK RHINCODON-TYPUS; PRIONACE-GLAUCA; SAMPLE-SIZE; MOVEMENTS; TRACKING; CATCH; CONSERVATION; PREDATOR; DEPTH; RATES;
D O I
10.1002/eap.2893
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
Species distribution models (SDMs) are becoming an important tool for marine conservation and management. Yet while there is an increasing diversity and volume of marine biodiversity data for training SDMs, little practical guidance is available on how to leverage distinct data types to build robust models. We explored the effect of different data types on the fit, performance and predictive ability of SDMs by comparing models trained with four data types for a heavily exploited pelagic fish, the blue shark (Prionace glauca), in the Northwest Atlantic: two fishery dependent (conventional mark-recapture tags, fisheries observer records) and two fishery independent (satellite-linked electronic tags, pop-up archival tags). We found that all four data types can result in robust models, but differences among spatial predictions highlighted the need to consider ecological realism in model selection and interpretation regardless of data type. Differences among models were primarily attributed to biases in how each data type, and the associated representation of absences, sampled the environment and summarized the resulting species distributions. Outputs from model ensembles and a model trained on all pooled data both proved effective for combining inferences across data types and provided more ecologically realistic predictions than individual models. Our results provide valuable guidance for practitioners developing SDMs. With increasing access to diverse data sources, future work should further develop truly integrative modeling approaches that can explicitly leverage the strengths of individual data types while statistically accounting for limitations, such as sampling biases.
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页数:20
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