Impacts of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex changes on the frontogenesis over the northern middle latitudes during winter

The impacts of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex (SPV) changes on wintertime frontogenesis in the northern middle latitudes are analyzed. Both composite analysis and model simulations reveal that the intensity and frequency of frontogenesis over West Russia, the Mongolian Plateau, the Mediterranean and the southern North Atlantic during weak SPV years are significantly stronger and larger than those during strong SPV years, while the frontogenesis over the northern parts of the North Atlantic and North Pacific Oceans are weaker and less occur during weak SPV years. These features are more noticeable in middle January and February. The contributions of resultant deformation changes to frontogenesis intensity changes over most regions of the middle latitudes are larger than those of horizontal divergence changes, and the contribution of stretching deformation is slightly larger than that of shearing deformation. The changes in frontogenesis intensity are attributed to changes in the tropospheric circulation and temperature gradient associated with the SPV changes. Potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) caused by the weakened and shifted SPV towards Eurasia lead to tropospheric cyclonic flows, favoring more cold-air mass transported towards mid-latitude Eurasia. Meanwhile, more high-PV air towards Eurasia results in steeper tropospheric isentropes during weak SPV years. Consequently, both temperature gradient and frontogenesis over Russia are enhanced. More southward transport of cold-air mass due to the equatorward shift of the polar jet stream induced by the weak SPV enhances the frontogenesis over the southern North Atlantic. Furthermore, the angle between dilatation axis and the isentropes over West Russia, the Mongolian Plateau and the southern North Atlantic is more likely to occur between 0 degrees and 45 degrees, which promotes stronger frontogenesis over these regions during weak SPV years. By contrast, opposite processes occur over the northern North Atlantic, causing weaker frontogenesis there.