The trade and welfare effects of the belt and road initiative

被引：2
|
作者：
Gao, Meng [1 ]
Jin, Chenxin [2 ,6 ]
Jin, Wei [3 ,4 ,7 ,8 ]
Sheng, Bin [3 ,4 ,7 ,8 ]
Xu, Linpu [5 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Int Business & Econ, Sch Banking & Finance, Beijing, Peoples R China
[2] Nankai Univ, APEC Study Ctr, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[3] Nankai Univ, Inst Int Econ, Ctr Transnatl Studies, Sch Econ, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[4] Nankai Univ, Inst Int Econ, Sch Econ, Lab Econ Behav & Policy Simulat, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[5] Peking Univ, Sch Software & Microelect, Beijing, Peoples R China
[6] Nankai Univ, APEC Study Ctr, 94 Weijin Rd, Tianjin 300071, Peoples R China
[7] Nankai Univ, Inst Int Econ, Ctr Transnatl Studies, Sch Econ, 94 Weijin Rd, Tianjin 300071, Peoples R China
[8] Nankai Univ, Inst Int Econ, Sch Econ, Lab Econ Behav & Policy Simulat, 94 Weijin Rd, Tianjin 300071, Peoples R China
来源：
REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS | 2024年 / 32卷 / 02期
关键词：
belt and road initiative; trade and welfare effects; synthetic control method; CHINA; AGREEMENTS; GEOGRAPHY; GRAVITY;
D O I：
10.1111/roie.12665
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
This paper evaluates the general equilibrium trade and welfare effects of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). We estimate the partial trade effect of the BRI using the synthetic control method. By feeding the implied trade cost reduction into counterfactual equations, we simulate the general equilibrium trade and welfare effects of the BRI based on the structural gravity model. We find that the BRI has greatly increased China's and BRI members' trade and welfare, with little impact on non-BRI members.
引用
收藏
页码：446 / 479
页数：34
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Evaluating waste and scrap trade risks in Belt and Road Initiative countries
    Hu, Xiaoqian
    Wang, Chao
    Lim, Ming K.
    Bai, Xiao
    Yao, Cuiyou
    [J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING, 2021, 173
  • [22] A study of the petroleum trade network of countries along "The Belt and Road Initiative"
    Zhang, Chi
    Fu, Jiasha
    Pu, Zhengning
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2019, 222 : 593 - 605
  • [23] Research on the Policy Effects and Impact Mechanisms of the Belt and Road Initiative on China's Forest Products Trade
    Wu, Tianbo
    Zhou, Dan
    Cheng, Hao
    Zhang, Keqiu
    Jiang, Yihao
    [J]. SUSTAINABILITY, 2023, 15 (12)
  • [24] Regions in the Belt and Road Initiative
    Forbes, Vivian Louis
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE INDIAN OCEAN REGION, 2020, 16 (03) : 371 - 373
  • [25] Imbalance and drivers of carbon emissions embodied in trade along the Belt and Road Initiative
    Lu, Qinli
    Fang, Kai
    Heijungs, Reinout
    Feng, Kuishuang
    Li, Jiashuo
    Wen, Qi
    Li, Yanmei
    Huang, Xianjin
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2020, 280 (280)
  • [26] Interpreting the Belt and Road Initiative
    Orozco Plascencia, Jose Manuel
    [J]. PORTES-REVISTA MEXICANA DE ESTUDIOS SOBRE LA CUENCA DEL PACIFICO, 2022, 16 (32): : 167 - 171
  • [27] The Belt and Road Initiative and Globalization
    Ke Yinbin
    Yang Le
    [J]. International Understanding, 2018, (01) : 18 - 20
  • [28] Financing the Belt and Road Initiative
    Liu, Weidong
    Zhang, Yajing
    Xiong, Wei
    [J]. EURASIAN GEOGRAPHY AND ECONOMICS, 2020, 61 (02) : 137 - 145
  • [29] The Belt and Road Initiative at the Crossroads
    Upreti, Pratyush Nath
    [J]. GLOBAL TRADE AND CUSTOMS JOURNAL, 2019, 14 (05): : 200 - 202
  • [30] Reflections on the Belt and Road Initiative
    Yu Hong
    [J]. CHINA-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL, 2019, 17 (04) : 8 - 23
12345