We characterise, and explore the drivers of, differences in the internal variability of the atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) across five NEMO-based CMIP6 class climate models. While the variability of AMOC variability is dominated by its lower dense limb in all models, there is large diversity in the timescale, multidecadal variability, and latitudinal coherence of AMOC across models. In particular, the UK models have much weaker AMOC multidecadal variability and latitudinal coherence. The model diversity is associated with differences in salinity-governed surface density variations which drive high-density water mass transformation (WMT) in the Greenland-Iceland-Norwegian Seas (GIN) and the Arctic. Specifically, GIN Seas WMT shows large multidecadal variability which has a major impact on AMOC variability in non-UK models. In contrast, the smaller variability in GIN Seas WMT in the UK models has limited impact on the lower latitude AMOC via the Denmark strait overflow mass transport. This leads to a latitudinally less coherent and weaker multidecadal variability of the AMOC lower limb. Such differences between UK and non-UK models are related to differences in model mean states and densification processes in the Arctic and GIN Seas. Consequently, we recommend further in-depth studies to better understand and constrain processes driving salinity changes in the Arctic and GIN Seas for more reliable representation of the AMOC in climate models.
机构:
Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, SwedenUppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden
Ye, Kunhui
Messori, Gabriele
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Uppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden
Ctr Nat Hazards & Disaster Sci, Uppsala, Sweden
Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, Stockholm, Sweden
Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, SwedenUppsala Univ, Dept Earth Sci, Uppsala, Sweden
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Yang, Lu
Lin, Pengfei
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Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Lin, Pengfei
Liu, Hailong
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Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Laoshan Lab, Qingdao, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Liu, Hailong
Zhao, Bowen
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China Meteorol Adm, Shanghai Typhoon Inst, Shanghai, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geoph, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China