In light of the current low-interest-rate environment, we reconsider the merits of strict money growth targeting (MGT) relative to conventional inflation targeting (IT) and to price level targeting (PLT). We evaluate these policies in terms of social welfare through the lens of a New Keynesian model and accounting for a zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate. Although MGT makes monetary policy vulnerable to money demand shocks, MGT contributes to achieving price level stationarity and significantly reduces the incidence and severity of the ZLB relative to both IT and PLT. Furthermore, MGT lessens the need for fiscal expansions to supplement monetary policy in fighting recessions.
机构:
Univ Mississippi, Otho Smith Prof Econ, Box 1848, University, MS 38677 USAUniv Mississippi, Otho Smith Prof Econ, Box 1848, University, MS 38677 USA
Belongia, Michael T.
Ireland, Peter N.
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机构:
Boston Coll, Dept Econ, 140 Commonwealth Ave, Chestnut Hill, MA 02467 USAUniv Mississippi, Otho Smith Prof Econ, Box 1848, University, MS 38677 USA
机构:
Ecole Polytech, CMAP, Palaiseau, France
Univ Paris 09, LEDa, UMR 8007, Paris, France
PSL, Paris, France
Banquede France, Paris, FranceSimon Fraser Univ, Dept Econ, Burnaby, BC, Canada