Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change

被引：48

作者：

Mi, Chunrong ^{[1
,2
]}

Ma, Liang ^{[3
]}

Yang, Mengyuan ^{[4
,5
]}

Li, Xinhai ^{[1
]}

Meiri, Shai ^{[6
]}

Roll, Uri ^{[7
]}

Oskyrko, Oleksandra ^{[1
,8
]}

Pincheira-Donoso, Daniel ^{[9
]}

Harvey, Lilly P. ^{[10
]}

Jablonski, Daniel ^{[11
]}

Safaei-Mahroo, Barbod ^{[12
]}

Ghaffari, Hanyeh ^{[13
]}

Smid, Jiri ^{[14
,15
]}

Jarvie, Scott ^{[16
]}

Kimani, Ronnie Mwangi ^{[17
]}

Masroor, Rafaqat ^{[18
]}

Kazemi, Seyed Mahdi ^{[19
]}

Nneji, Lotanna Micah ^{[20
]}

Fokoua, Arnaud Marius Tchassem ^{[21
]}

Tasse Taboue, Geraud C. ^{[22
]}

Bauer, Aaron ^{[23
]}

Nogueira, Cristiano ^{[24
]}

Meirte, Danny ^{[25
]}

Chapple, David G. ^{[26
]}

Das, Indraneil ^{[27
]}

Grismer, Lee ^{[28
]}

Avila, Luciano Javier ^{[29
]}

Ribeiro Junior, Marco Antonio ^{[30
]}

Tallowin, Oliver J. S. ^{[31
]}

Torres-Carvajal, Omar ^{[32
]}

Wagner, Philipp ^{[33
]}

Ron, Santiago R. ^{[34
]}

Wang, Yuezhao ^{[35
]}

Itescu, Yuval ^{[36
,37
]}

Nagy, Zoltan Tamas

Wilcove, David S. ^{[20
,38
]}

Liu, Xuan ^{[1
]}

Du, Weiguo ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Zool, Key Lab Anim Ecol & Conservat Biol, Beijing, Peoples R China

[2] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China

[3] Sun Yat sen Univ, Sch Ecol, Shenzhen Campus, Shenzhen, Peoples R China

[4] Zhejiiang Univ, Hangzhou, Peoples R China

[5] Westlake Univ, Hangzhou, Peoples R China

[6] Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Zool, Steinhardt Museum Nat Hist, Tel Aviv, Israel

[7] Ben Gurion Univ Negev, Jacob Blaustein Inst Desert Res, Mitrani Dept Desert Ecol, Midreshet Bengur, Israel

[8] Taras Shevchenko Natl Univ Kyiv, Inst Biol & Med, Educ & Sci Ctr, Kiev, Ukraine

[9] Queens Univ Belfast, Sch Biol Sci, Belfast, North Ireland

[10] Nottingham Trent Univ, Sch Sci & Technol, Clifton Campus, Nottingham, England

[11] Comenius Univ, Dept Zool, Bratislava, Slovakia

[12] Pars Herpetologists Inst, Corner third Jahad alley,Arash Str,Jalal e Ale Ah, Tehran, Iran

[13] Univ Kurdistan, Fac Nat Resources, Dept Environm Sci, Sanandaj, Iran

[14] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Sci, Dept Zool, Prague, Czech Republic

[15] Natl Museum Prague, Dept Zool, Prague, Czech Republic

[16] Otago Reg Council, Dunedin 9016, Aotearoa, New Zealand

[17] Natl Museums Kenya, Herpetol Sect, Nairobi, Kenya

[18] Pakistan Museum Nat Hist, Zool Sci Div, Garden Ave, Islamabad, Pakistan

[19] Zagros Herpetol Inst, Somayyeh Ave, Qom, Iran

[20] Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Princeton, NJ USA

[21] Univ Yaounde, Lab Zool, Yaounde, Cameroon

[22] Inst Agr Res Dev, Multipurpose Res Stn, Bangangte, Cameroon

[23] Villanova Univ, Ctr Biodivers & Ecosyst Stewardship, Dept Biol, Villanova, PA USA

[24] Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Ecol, Inst Biociencias, Sao Paulo, Brazil

[25] Royal Museum Cent Africa, Tervuren, Belgium

[26] Monash Univ, Sch Biol Sci, Clayton, Vic, Australia

[27] Univ Malaysia Sarawak, Inst Biodivers & Environm Conservat, Sarawak, Malaysia

[28] Sierra Univ, Dept Biol, Riverside, CA USA

[29] Inst Patagon Estudio Ecosistemas Continentales IP, Grp Herpetol Patagon GHP LASIBIBE, Puerto Madryn, Argentina

[30] Tel Aviv Univ, Dept Zool, Tel Aviv, Israel

[31] UN Environm Programme World Conservat Monitoring, Cambridge, England

[32] Pontificia Univ Catolica Ecuador, Escuela Ciencias Biol, Museo Zool, Quito, Ecuador

[33] Allwetterzoo, Munster, Germany

[34] Univ Catol Ecuador, Escuela Biol, Fac Ciencias Exactas & Nat, Museo Zool, Quito, Ecuador

[35] Chinese Acad Sci, Chengdu Inst Biol, Chengdu, Peoples R China

[36] Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries I, Muggelseedamm, Berlin, Germany

[37] Free Univ Berlin, Inst Biol, Berlin, Germany

[38] Princeton Univ, Princeton Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, CA USA

来源：

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS | 2023年 / 14卷 / 01期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS; 6TH MASS EXTINCTION; LAND-USE-CHANGE; GAP ANALYSIS; CONSERVATION; RISK; BIODIVERSITY; DISTRIBUTIONS; PREDICT; EXPANSION;

D O I：

10.1038/s41467-023-36987-y

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (similar to 70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species' distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.

引用

页数：11

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