Quantile deep learning model and multi-objective opposition elite marine predator optimization algorithm for wind speed

被引:20
|
作者
Wang, Jianzhou [1 ]
Guo, Honggang [1 ]
Li, Zhiwu [2 ]
Song, Aiyi [3 ]
Niu, Xinsong [1 ]
机构
[1] Dongbei Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat, Dalian 116025, Peoples R China
[2] Macau Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Macau 999078, Peoples R China
[3] Dalian Neusoft Univ Informat, Sch Hlth Care Technol, Dalian 116023, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Wind speed forecasting; Quantile deep learning; Multi-objective optimization; Data preprocessing; DECOMPOSITION; ENSEMBLE; DENSITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.apm.2022.10.052
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Wind speed prediction accuracy is critical for grid connection safety and intelligent wind farm management. However, most wind speed prediction studies mainly focus on the de-terministic prediction, and are rarely discussed in wind speed uncertain prediction. There-fore, this paper proposes a wind speed combined probability prediction system that in-tegrates data denoising technology and creatively introduces the concept of quantile into the deep learning model to construct the wind speed quantile prediction component. To ensemble the prediction components effectively, a novel multi-objective marine preda-tor combination strategy is developed that circumvents the limitations of the traditional multi-objective optimization algorithm. The experimental results based on two wind speed datasets show that the proposed system can improve wind speed prediction accuracy, build a more appropriate wind speed prediction interval, efficiently measure and minimize the uncertainty of the forecast process.(c) 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:56 / 79
页数:24
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