How susceptible is the European financial stability to economic policy uncertainty?

被引:3
|
作者
Orlowski, Lucjan T. [1 ]
机构
[1] Sacred Heart Univ, Econ & Finance, 5151 Pk Ave, Fairfield, CT 06825 USA
关键词
Economic policy uncertainty; Minsky-Kindleberger Theory of Financial Instability; Financial stability in Europe; Multiple breakpoint regression;
D O I
10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.07.011
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This study examines the interdependence and asymmetries in the relationships between the economic policy uncertainty and the selected financial stability variables in Europe. Specifically, the impact of uncertainty on inflation, equity returns, the euro in US dollar exchange rate and interest rates is analyzed. The results show a significant negative impact of shocks in economic policy uncertainty on equity returns in Europe during the examined January 1987 - January 2023 period. Uncertainty shocks affect inflation asymmetrically at different time intervals. Asymmetric responses of interest rates and the exchange rate to uncertainty shocks are also found. The results suggest that economic policies in Europe should encompass efforts to mitigate economic uncertainty. (c) 2023 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:864 / 875
页数:12
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