Using Unsupervised Machine Learning to Predict Quality of Life After Total Knee Arthroplasty

Background: Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are an important metric to assess total knee arthroplasty (TKA) patients. The purpose of this study was to use a machine learning (ML) algorithm to identify patient features that impact PROMs after TKA. Methods: Data from 636 TKA patients enrolled in our patient database between 2018 and 2022, were retrospectively reviewed. Their mean age was 68 years (range, 39 to 92), 56.7% women, and mean body mass index of 31.17 (range, 16 to 58). Patient demographics and the Functional Comorbidity Index were collected alongside Patient-Reported Outcome Measures Information System Global Health v1.2 (PROMIS GH-P) physical component scores preoperatively, at 3 months, and 1 year after TKA. An unsupervised ML algorithm (spectral clustering) was used to identify patient features impacting PROMIS GH-P scores at the various time points. Results: The algorithm identified 5 patient clusters that varied by demographics, comorbidities, and pain scores. Each cluster was associated with predictable trends in PROMIS GH-P scores across the time points. Notably, patients who had the worst preoperative PROMIS GH-P scores (cluster 5) had the most improvement after TKA, whereas patients who had higher global health rating preoperatively had more modest improvement (clusters 1, 2, and 3). Two out of Five patient clusters (cluster 4 and 5) showed improvement in PROMIS GH-P scores that met a minimally clinically important difference at 1-year postoperative. Conclusions: The unsupervised ML algorithm identified patient clusters that had predictable changes in PROMs after TKA. It is a positive step toward providing precision medical care for each of our arthroplasty patients. (c) 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.