Bias reduction in spot volatility estimation from options

被引:2
|
作者
Todorov, Viktor [1 ]
Zhang, Yang [1 ]
机构
[1] Northwestern Univ, Kellogg Sch Management, Evanston, IL 60201 USA
关键词
Characteristic function; Higher-order asymptotic expansion; Jumps; Options; Volatility estimation; STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY; IMPLIED VOLATILITIES; MODEL;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2021.12.001
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We consider the problem of nonparametric spot volatility estimation from options that is robust to time-variation in volatility and presence of jumps in the underlying asset price. Using a higher-order expansion of the characteristic function of the underlying price increment over shrinking time intervals and option-based estimates of the latter over two distinct horizons, we achieve asymptotic bias-reduction in spot volatility estimation, relative to existing methods, that is due to time-variation in volatility and presence of jumps. Further asymptotic improvement is achieved by de-biasing the volatility estimator using an estimate for the bias in it due to the small jumps in the price process. The gains from the newly-developed volatility estimation approach are illustrated on simulated data and in an empirical application.(c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:53 / 81
页数:29
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] On automatic bias reduction for extreme expectile estimation
    Girard, Stephane
    Stupfler, Gilles
    Usseglio-Carleve, Antoine
    STATISTICS AND COMPUTING, 2022, 32 (04)
  • [42] ON 2 METHODS OF BIAS REDUCTION IN ESTIMATION OF RATIOS
    RAO, JNK
    WEBSTER, JT
    BIOMETRIKA, 1966, 53 : 571 - &
  • [43] Forecasting bitcoin volatility: Evidence from the options market
    Hoang, Lai T.
    Baur, Dirk G.
    JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2020, 40 (10) : 1584 - 1602
  • [44] Bias reduction in nonparametric diffusion coefficient estimation
    Nicolau, J
    ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 2003, 19 (05) : 754 - 777
  • [45] KERNEL ESTIMATION OF SPOT VOLATILITY WITH MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE USING PRE-AVERAGING
    Figueroa-Lopez, Jose E.
    Wu, Bei
    ECONOMETRIC THEORY, 2024, 40 (03) : 558 - 607
  • [46] Inferring future volatility from the information in implied volatility in Eurodollar options: A new approach
    Amin, KI
    Ng, VK
    REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 1997, 10 (02): : 333 - 367
  • [47] Comparative Analysis of Root Finding Algorithms for Implied Volatility Estimation of Ethereum Options
    Sapna, S.
    Mohan, Biju R.
    COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2024, 64 (01) : 515 - 550
  • [48] The asymmetric response of volatility to market changes and the volatility smile: Evidence from Australian options
    Tanha, Hassan
    Dempsey, Michael
    RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2015, 34 : 164 - 176
  • [49] A bias in the volatility smile
    Don M. Chance
    Thomas A. Hanson
    Weiping Li
    Jayaram Muthuswamy
    Review of Derivatives Research, 2017, 20 : 47 - 90
  • [50] A bias in the volatility smile
    Chance, Don M.
    Hanson, Thomas A.
    Li, Weiping
    Muthuswamy, Jayaram
    REVIEW OF DERIVATIVES RESEARCH, 2017, 20 (01) : 47 - 90