We consider the problem of nonparametric spot volatility estimation from options that is robust to time-variation in volatility and presence of jumps in the underlying asset price. Using a higher-order expansion of the characteristic function of the underlying price increment over shrinking time intervals and option-based estimates of the latter over two distinct horizons, we achieve asymptotic bias-reduction in spot volatility estimation, relative to existing methods, that is due to time-variation in volatility and presence of jumps. Further asymptotic improvement is achieved by de-biasing the volatility estimator using an estimate for the bias in it due to the small jumps in the price process. The gains from the newly-developed volatility estimation approach are illustrated on simulated data and in an empirical application.(c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Univ Western Australia, UWA Business Sch, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
Natl Econ Univ, Hanoi, VietnamUniv Western Australia, UWA Business Sch, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
Hoang, Lai T.
Baur, Dirk G.
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Univ Western Australia, UWA Business Sch, Crawley, WA 6009, AustraliaUniv Western Australia, UWA Business Sch, Crawley, WA 6009, Australia
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Louisiana State Univ, Dept Finance, 2909 BEC, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Finance, 2909 BEC, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Chance, Don M.
Hanson, Thomas A.
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Minnesota State Univ Moorhead, Paseka Sch Business, Moorhead, MN 56563 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Finance, 2909 BEC, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Hanson, Thomas A.
Li, Weiping
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Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan Provinc, Peoples R China
Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Finance, MSCS 526, Stillwater, OK 74078 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Finance, 2909 BEC, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA
Li, Weiping
Muthuswamy, Jayaram
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Kent State Univ, Dept Finance, Coll Business Adm, POB 5190, Kent, OH 44242 USALouisiana State Univ, Dept Finance, 2909 BEC, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA