An intelligent prediction model of epidemic characters based on multi-feature

被引:1
|
作者
Wang, Xiaoying [1 ,7 ]
Li, Chunmei [2 ]
Wang, Yilei [2 ]
Yin, Lin [1 ]
Zhou, Qilin [3 ]
Zheng, Rui [4 ]
Wu, Qingwu [4 ]
Zhou, Yuqi [5 ]
Dai, Min [6 ]
机构
[1] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 3, Informat Ctr, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
[2] Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Comp Sci, Rizhao, Peoples R China
[3] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 3, Dept Allergy, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
[4] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 3, Dept Otorhinolaryngol Head & Neck Surg, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
[5] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Pulm & Crit Care Med, Affiliated Hosp 3, Guangzhou 510630, Peoples R China
[6] Sun Yat Sen Univ, Affiliated Hosp 3, Dept Tradit Chinese Med, Guangzhou 510630, Peoples R China
[7] 600 Tianhe Rd, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
关键词
artificial intelligence; big data; data analysis; evaluation; feature extraction; intelligent information processing; medical applications; INTERNET;
D O I
10.1049/cit2.12294
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The epidemic characters of Omicron (e.g. large-scale transmission) are significantly different from the initial variants of COVID-19. The data generated by large-scale transmission is important to predict the trend of epidemic characters. However, the results of current prediction models are inaccurate since they are not closely combined with the actual situation of Omicron transmission. In consequence, these inaccurate results have negative impacts on the process of the manufacturing and the service industry, for example, the production of masks and the recovery of the tourism industry. The authors have studied the epidemic characters in two ways, that is, investigation and prediction. First, a large amount of data is collected by utilising the Baidu index and conduct questionnaire survey concerning epidemic characters. Second, the beta-SEIDR model is established, where the population is classified as Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, Dead and beta-Recovered persons, to intelligently predict the epidemic characters of COVID-19. Note that beta-Recovered persons denote that the Recovered persons may become Susceptible persons with probability beta. The simulation results show that the model can accurately predict the epidemic characters.
引用
收藏
页码:595 / 607
页数:13
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