Construction of deep-learning based WWBs parameterization for ENSO prediction
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作者:
You, Lirong
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Hohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing, Peoples R ChinaHohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
You, Lirong
[1
,2
]
Tan, Xiaoxiao
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机构:
Hohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab Zhuhai, Zhuhai, Peoples R ChinaHohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Tan, Xiaoxiao
[1
,2
,3
]
Tang, Youmin
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Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Univ Northern British Columbia, Fac Environm, Prince George, BC, CanadaHohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
Tang, Youmin
[2
,4
]
机构:
[1] Hohai Univ, Key Lab Marine Hazards Forecasting, Minist Nat Resources, Nanjing, Peoples R China
[2] Hohai Univ, Coll Oceanog, Nanjing, Peoples R China
[3] Southern Marine Sci & Engn Guangdong Lab Zhuhai, Zhuhai, Peoples R China
[4] Univ Northern British Columbia, Fac Environm, Prince George, BC, Canada
Westerly wind bursts (WWBs) significantly impact the occurrence and development of the El Nin similar to o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Current dynamical models, however, face significant challenges in representing WWBs. In this study, deep learning techniques were used to develop a new parameterization scheme for WWBs and further compared against two widely used schemes. The results show that the scheme developed in this study has greater capability than previous schemes in reproducing WWBs characteristics, particularly in terms of occurrence probability, location, and duration. This improvement was mainly reflected in El Nin similar to o years, especially in strong events when the deep-learning-based scheme much realistically captures the location and strength of WWBs. It is expected that the new parameterization scheme will further improve ENSO prediction in dynamical models.
机构:
Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Bello, Ghalib A.
Dawes, Timothy J. W.
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机构:
Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Imperial Coll London, Natl Heart & Lung Inst, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Dawes, Timothy J. W.
Duan, Jinming
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Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Imperial Coll London, Dept Comp, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Duan, Jinming
Biffi, Carlo
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机构:
Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Imperial Coll London, Dept Comp, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Biffi, Carlo
de Marvao, Antonio
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Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
de Marvao, Antonio
Howard, Luke S. G. E.
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Imperial Coll Healthcare NHS Trust, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Howard, Luke S. G. E.
Gibbs, J. Simon R.
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Imperial Coll London, Natl Heart & Lung Inst, London, England
Imperial Coll Healthcare NHS Trust, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Gibbs, J. Simon R.
Wilkins, Martin R.
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Imperial Coll London, Dept Med, Div Expt Med, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Wilkins, Martin R.
Cook, Stuart A.
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机构:
Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Imperial Coll London, Natl Heart & Lung Inst, London, England
Natl Heart Ctr Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
Duke NUS Grad Med Sch, Singapore, SingaporeImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Cook, Stuart A.
Rueckert, Daniel
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Imperial Coll London, Dept Comp, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England
Rueckert, Daniel
O'Regan, Declan P.
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Imperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, EnglandImperial Coll London, MRC London Inst Med Sci, London, England