Lasting scars: The long-term effects of school closures on earnings

被引:0
|
作者
Koczan, Zs. [1 ]
机构
[1] European Bank Reconstruct & Dev, 5 Bank St, London E14 4BG, England
关键词
Conflict; Education; Earnings; School closures; EDUCATIONAL-ATTAINMENT; IMPACT; STRIKES; COST; WAR; CONSEQUENCES; DISRUPTION; CONFLICT; ABSENCES; OUTCOMES;
D O I
10.1016/j.worlddev.2023.106514
中图分类号
F0 [经济学]; F1 [世界各国经济概况、经济史、经济地理]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
0201 ; 020105 ; 03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
We examine the impact of education disruptions on earnings in the long term using a natural experiment. In particular, we estimate the effects of school closures due to the 1999 NATO bombing of Serbia on earnings 20 years later. Our results point to substantial and lasting effects: those in first grade at the time of the shock earn about 7-9 percent less 20 years after the shock than unaffected cohorts just younger than them. Impacts are larger for those in the bottom half of the income distribution. We find that selection into lower-paying sectors (possibly due to higher risk aversion) explains about 15 percent of the overall effect. However, the negative effect of education disruption persists despite affected cohorts staying in school longer, being more likely to work for the public sector and having open-ended contracts.
引用
收藏
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Lasting or latent scars? Swedish evidence on the long-term effects of job displacement
    Eliason, Marcus
    Storrie, Donald
    JOURNAL OF LABOR ECONOMICS, 2006, 24 (04) : 831 - 856
  • [2] Are there Long-Term Earnings Scars from Youth Unemployment in Germany?
    Moeller, Joachim
    Umkehrer, Matthias
    JAHRBUCHER FUR NATIONALOKONOMIE UND STATISTIK, 2015, 235 (4-5): : 474 - 498
  • [3] THE LONG-TERM DISTRIBUTIONAL AND WELFARE EFFECTS OF COVID-19 SCHOOL CLOSURES
    Fuchs-Schuendeln, Nicola
    Krueger, Dirk
    Ludwig, Alexander
    Popova, Irina
    ECONOMIC JOURNAL, 2022, 132 (645): : 1647 - 1683
  • [4] THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF UNILATERAL CORNEAL SCARS
    TABBARA, KF
    ALOMAR, OM
    INVESTIGATIVE OPHTHALMOLOGY & VISUAL SCIENCE, 1994, 35 (04) : 1962 - 1962
  • [5] The Long-Term Effects of Cancer on Employment and Earnings
    Jeon, Sung-Hee
    HEALTH ECONOMICS, 2017, 26 (05) : 671 - 684
  • [6] Incarceration and Earnings: Distributional and Long-Term Effects
    Christian Brown
    Journal of Labor Research, 2019, 40 : 58 - 83
  • [7] Incarceration and Earnings: Distributional and Long-Term Effects
    Brown, Christian
    JOURNAL OF LABOR RESEARCH, 2019, 40 (01) : 58 - 83
  • [8] Covid-induced school closures in the United States and Germany: long-term distributional effects
    Fuchs-Schuendeln, Ncola
    ECONOMIC POLICY, 2022, 37 (112) : 609 - 639
  • [9] Impacts of long-term coronavirus disease 2019 school closures on Japanese school children
    Hayano, Chiaki
    Shimakawa, Shuichi
    Fukui, Miho
    Yoshida, Seiji
    Tsuda-Kitahara, Hikaru
    Ashida, Akira
    PEDIATRICS INTERNATIONAL, 2022, 64 (01)
  • [10] The Long-Term Effects of Measles Vaccination on Earnings and Employment
    Atwood, Alicia
    AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-ECONOMIC POLICY, 2022, 14 (02) : 34 - 60