Blood-wall fluttering instability as a physiomarker of the progression of thoracic aortic aneurysms

The diagnosis of aneurysms is informed by empirically tracking their size and growth rate. Here, by analysing the growth of aortic aneurysms from first principles via linear stability analysis of flow through an elastic blood vessel, we show that abnormal aortic dilatation is associated with a transition from stable flow to unstable aortic fluttering. This transition to instability can be described by the critical threshold for a dimensionless number that depends on blood pressure, the size of the aorta, and the shear stress and stiffness of the aortic wall. By analysing data from four-dimensional flow magnetic resonance imaging for 117 patients who had undergone cardiothoracic imaging and for 100 healthy volunteers, we show that the dimensionless number is a physiomarker for the growth of thoracic ascending aortic aneurysms and that it can be used to accurately discriminate abnormal versus natural growth. Further characterization of the transition to blood-wall fluttering instability may aid the understanding of the mechanisms underlying aneurysm progression in patients. The growth of aortic aneurysms can be predicted via a dimensionless physiomarker, derived from first principles and calculated from data acquired via 4D flow magnetic resonance imaging, that describes a transition from stable blood flow to unstable aortic fluttering.