Coupled Oscillators in an Agroecosystem: Integrating Direct and Indirect Effects

Agricultural pests are increasingly appreciated as subjects of ecology. One particular case, a pest in coffee production, is analyzed here using the conceptual framework of complex systems, increasingly acknowledged as having an obvious home in the field of ecology, notorious for its complex structures. The particular case analyzed here arguably falls under the control of the complexity of the ecological system rather than of a simple magic bullet of population regulation. The system, which has been under study in southern Mexico for the past quarter century, is analyzed through the lens of neutral oscillations of the classical nondissipative Lotka-Volterra system. Based on three consumer/resource pairs (populations of [1] an ant, [2] a scale insect, [3] a beetle predator of the scale insect, [4] a fungal pathogen of the scale insect, and [5] a fly parasitoid of the ant), this five-dimensional system is well known qualitatively. Coupling all agents through both direct effects and trait-mediated indirect effects, the behavior of the neutral oscillation form of the system reveals a complex set of behaviors, including harmonized invariant sets, chaos, and/or quasiperiodicity. Such behaviors are well-known subjects in the science of complex systems and, it is argued, are ultimately sufficient to effect a degree of regulation on the pest, independent of explicit density-dependent feedback. Control of the system is thus seen as arguably actuated through its complexity, independent of any classic dissipative force.