AnIO: anchored input-output learning for time-series forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Stentoumi, Ourania [1 ]
Nousi, Paraskevi [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Tzelepi, Maria [1 ,4 ]
Tefas, Anastasios [1 ]
机构
[1] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Dept Informat, Thessaloniki, Greece
[2] EPFL, Swiss Data Sci Ctr, Zurich, Switzerland
[3] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Zurich, Switzerland
[4] ITI CERTH, Thessaloniki, Greece
来源
NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS | 2024年 / 36卷 / 06期
关键词
Time-series forecasting; Electric load demand forecasting; Anchored input-output learning; Deep learning; Greek energy market; ELECTRICITY DEMAND;
D O I
10.1007/s00521-023-09175-8
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this work, the short-term electric load demand forecasting problem is addressed, proposing a method inspired by the use of anchors in object detection methods. Specifically, a method named Anchored Input-Output Learning (AnIO) is proposed. AnIO proposes to define and use an anchor, reformulating the problem into offset prediction instead of actual load value prediction. Additionally, the use of anchor-encoded input features to match the encoded output is proposed. Extensive experiments were conducted, considering different anchors and model architectures on different datasets. Considering the Greek energy market, AnIO improves the performance from 2.914 to 2.251% in terms of MAPE. In conclusion, AnIO method achieves to improve the performance, considering time-series forecasting tasks.
引用
收藏
页码:2683 / 2693
页数:11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] BACKPROPAGATION IN TIME-SERIES FORECASTING
    LACHTERMACHER, G
    FULLER, JD
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1995, 14 (04) : 381 - 393
  • [32] TIME-SERIES DECOMPOSITION AND FORECASTING
    TEODORESCU, D
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL, 1989, 50 (05) : 1577 - 1585
  • [33] ON IMPROVING TIME-SERIES FORECASTING
    CHEN, S
    JARRETT, J
    [J]. OMEGA-INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1991, 19 (05): : 502 - 505
  • [34] Conformal Time-Series Forecasting
    Stankeviciute, Kamile
    Alaa, Ahmed M.
    van der Schaar, Mihaela
    [J]. ADVANCES IN NEURAL INFORMATION PROCESSING SYSTEMS 34 (NEURIPS 2021), 2021, 34
  • [35] FORECASTING NONNORMAL TIME-SERIES
    SWIFT, AL
    JANACEK, GJ
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1991, 10 (05) : 501 - 520
  • [36] THE FUTURE OF TIME-SERIES FORECASTING
    CHATFIELD, C
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1988, 4 (03) : 411 - 419
  • [37] Long sequence time-series forecasting with deep learning: A survey
    Chen, Zonglei
    Ma, Minbo
    Li, Tianrui
    Wang, Hongjun
    Li, Chongshou
    [J]. INFORMATION FUSION, 2023, 97
  • [38] Inventory of CO2 emissions driven by energy consumption in Hubei Province: a time-series energy input-output analysis
    Jiashuo Li
    Ran Luo
    Qing Yang
    Haiping Yang
    [J]. Frontiers of Earth Science, 2016, 10 : 717 - 730
  • [39] Data Decomposition Based Learning for Load Time-Series Forecasting
    Bedi, Jatin
    Toshniwal, Durga
    [J]. ECML PKDD 2020 WORKSHOPS, 2020, 1323 : 62 - 74
  • [40] Inventory of CO2 emissions driven by energy consumption in Hubei Province: a time-series energy input-output analysis
    Li, Jiashuo
    Luo, Ran
    Yang, Qing
    Yang, Haiping
    [J]. FRONTIERS OF EARTH SCIENCE, 2016, 10 (04) : 717 - 730