AnIO: anchored input-output learning for time-series forecasting

被引:0
|
作者
Stentoumi, Ourania [1 ]
Nousi, Paraskevi [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Tzelepi, Maria [1 ,4 ]
Tefas, Anastasios [1 ]
机构
[1] Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Dept Informat, Thessaloniki, Greece
[2] EPFL, Swiss Data Sci Ctr, Zurich, Switzerland
[3] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Zurich, Switzerland
[4] ITI CERTH, Thessaloniki, Greece
来源
NEURAL COMPUTING & APPLICATIONS | 2024年 / 36卷 / 06期
关键词
Time-series forecasting; Electric load demand forecasting; Anchored input-output learning; Deep learning; Greek energy market; ELECTRICITY DEMAND;
D O I
10.1007/s00521-023-09175-8
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In this work, the short-term electric load demand forecasting problem is addressed, proposing a method inspired by the use of anchors in object detection methods. Specifically, a method named Anchored Input-Output Learning (AnIO) is proposed. AnIO proposes to define and use an anchor, reformulating the problem into offset prediction instead of actual load value prediction. Additionally, the use of anchor-encoded input features to match the encoded output is proposed. Extensive experiments were conducted, considering different anchors and model architectures on different datasets. Considering the Greek energy market, AnIO improves the performance from 2.914 to 2.251% in terms of MAPE. In conclusion, AnIO method achieves to improve the performance, considering time-series forecasting tasks.
引用
收藏
页码:2683 / 2693
页数:11
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