Safety analysis of fire and explosion (F&E) accidents risk in bulk carrier ships under fuzzy fault tree approach

被引:47
|
作者
Tuncel, Ahmet Lutfi [1 ]
Besikci, Elif Bal [1 ]
Akyuz, Emre [1 ]
Arslan, Ozcan [1 ]
机构
[1] Istanbul Tech Univ, Dept Maritime Transportat & Management Engn, TR-34940 Istanbul, Turkiye
关键词
Maritime safety; Risk analysis; Fault tree; CS-I technique; Fire and explosion; BULK carrier ships; HUMAN RELIABILITY; ENGINE ROOM; OIL; FFTA;
D O I
10.1016/j.ssci.2022.105972
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Minimizing fire and explosion (F&E) accident risk in bulk carrier ships are of paramount to enhance safety in maritime transportation. Due to nature of cargo carried by bulk carrier ships, the fire and explosion risk is relatively high. Therefore, a detailed risk analysis is required to understand potential root causes of F&E acci-dents. This paper aims at performing risk analysis under fuzzy logic, fault tree analysis (FTA) and Cut Set Importance Measurement (CS-I) technique for F&E accidents in bulk carrier ships. Since the fault tree presents a robust graphical tool to explore the causes of system level failures, the fuzzy sets deal with vagueness and ambiguity in decision-making process. In addition, the CS-I technique is used in the study to reveal the most effective accident combinations in the formation of such accidents. The result of the paper shows that probability of the F&E risk on bulk carriers is 9.27E-02. The findings of the paper provide valuable insights to the ship owners, safety inspectors, Health, Safety, Environment and Quality (HSEQ) managers of bulk carrier ships based on the proposed control actions to reduce risk and improve operational safety.
引用
收藏
页数:10
相关论文
共 33 条
  • [31] Safety assessment of natural gas storage tank using similarity aggregation method based fuzzy fault tree analysis (SAM-FFTA) approach
    Yin, Hailong
    Liu, Changhua
    Wu, Wei
    Song, Ke
    Liu, Dongpeng
    Dan, Yong
    JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2020, 66
  • [32] Mechanism-Based Fire Hazard Chain Risk Assessment for Roll-On/Roll-Off Passenger Vessels Transporting Electric Vehicles: A Fault Tree-Fuzzy Bayesian Network Approach
    Jiang, Xiaodan
    Ren, Wei
    Xu, Haibin
    Zheng, Shiyuan
    Wu, Shijie
    JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2025, 13 (02)
  • [33] Improved Z-number based fuzzy fault tree approach to analyze health and safety risks in surface mines by I. M., Jiskani, F., Yasli, S., Hosseini, A. U., Rehman, S., Uddin [Resources Policy 76 (2022) 102591]: Suggested modification
    Tomar P.
    Kumar A.
    Resour. Policy, 2024,