Evaluation of basin-scale hydrogeological changes induced by reservoir operation at the Xiluodu dam site

Impoundment of large-capacity reservoirs has a great impact on groundwater flow in aquifer-aquitard systems. This impact occurs not only at the local scale in the dam area, but also at the regional scale under particular site conditions, causing unexpected geohazards and deformation phenomena. In this study, basin-scale hydrogeological changes induced by reservoir filling and operation at the Xiluodu dam site in southwest China are investigated by hierarchical numerical simulations. Hierarchical groundwater flow models consisting of a basinscale model (34 km in horizontal dimension) and a site-scale model (4 km) are developed and solved with MODFLOW and a finite element code, respectively, by applying the output of the basin-scale model on the lateral boundaries of the site-scale model. The groundwater level changes in and the groundwater exchange between the confined and unconfined aquifer systems are evaluated. The groundwater level in the confined aquifer has significantly increased by about 96 m beneath the dam site since reservoir filling, and the dimension of the influence zone with an increase over 10 m in groundwater level reaches about 7-9 km in the basin. The rate of vertical leakage from the confined to unconfined aquifer first decreases during the initial filling, and then increases gradually as the pressure propagates into the confined aquifer. It is predicted that the dynamically equilibrated state will be reached in 2027. The local vertical leakage occurring in the plunge pool area along the unplugged boreholes drilled during site investigation is confirmed by a calculation based on the Theis formula. The results are useful for decision-making related to the reservoir operation and safety assessment of the dam.