Dynamics of an SEIR epidemic model with saturated incidence rate including stochastic in-fluence

被引:1
|
作者
Kumar, G. Ranjith [1 ]
Ramesh, K. [1 ]
Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy [2 ]
机构
[1] Anurag Univ, Dept Math, Hyderabad 500088, Telangana, India
[2] Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz Univ, Coll Sci & Humanities Alkharj, Dept Math, Alkharj, Saudi Arabia
来源
关键词
SEIR model; Basic reproduction number; Stochastic stability; White noise; MATHEMATICAL-THEORY; ASYMPTOTIC STABILITY; PERMANENCE; EXTINCTION; EXISTENCE; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.22034/cmde.2023.56544.2365
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
This paper aims to develop a stochastic perturbation into SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed) epidemic model including a saturated estimated incidence. A set of stochastic differential equations is used to study its behavior, with the assumption that each population's exposure to environmental unpredictability is represented by noise terms. This kind of randomness is considerably more reasonable and realistic in the proposed model. The current study has been viewed as strengthening the body of literature because there is less research on the dynamics of this kind of model. We discussed the structure of all equilibriums' existence and the dynamical behavior of all the steady states. The fundamental replication number for the proposed method was used to discuss the stability of every equilibrium point; if R-0 < 1, the infected free equilibrium is resilient, and if R-0 > 1, the endemic equilibrium is resilient. The system's value is primarily described by its ambient stochasticity, which takes the form of Gaussian white noise. Additionally, the suggested model can offer helpful data for comprehending, forecasting, and controlling the spread of various epidemics globally. Numerical simulations are run for a hypothetical set of parameter values to back up our analytical conclusions.
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页码:350 / 360
页数:11
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