The impact of aquatic habitats on the malaria parasite transmission: A view from an agent-based model

被引:1
|
作者
Khelifa, Amira [1 ,2 ,4 ]
El Saadi, Nadjia [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sci & Technol Houari Boumediene USTHB, Fac Math, Dept Probabil & Stat, BP 32, Algiers 16111, Algeria
[2] ENSSEA, Lab Modelisat Phenomenes Stochast LAMOPS, Tipasa 42003, Algeria
[3] Natl Higher Sch Stat & Appl Econ ENSSEA, Tipasa 42003, Algeria
[4] Univ Saad Dahlab Blida USDB, Fac Sci, Dept Math, BP 270 Road Souma, Blida 09000, Algeria
关键词
Agent-based model; Malaria transmission; Spatial dispersion; Simulation; Host-vector interactions; Aquatic habitats; PLASMODIUM-FALCIPARUM MALARIA; INFECTION; MOSQUITOS; EPIDEMIOLOGY; OVIPOSITION; SIMULATION; CULICIDAE; PROTOCOL; BEHAVIOR; IMMUNITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110547
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
In this paper, we develop an agent-based model (ABM) to study malaria disease transmission. This ABM is a host-vector model where hosts are humans and vectors are the female Anopheles mosquitos, moreover the ABM is spatially explicit integrating aquatic habitats in which mature vectors breed and the immature vectors develop. The dispersals of vectors, hosts and aquatic habitats and the interactions between them are explicit and depend on their geographical locations, the demographic processes for both hosts and vectors and hosts immunity are taken into account.We implement the ABM using parameters values corresponding to real conditions in nature. Starting from different initial conditions, ABM simulations provide quantitative results predicting disease prevalence in hosts and vectors.The obtained results in this study are asymptotic and highlight the role of aquatic habitats as a determining factor in the transmission of infection and the persistence of the disease. Finally, efficiency of the elimination of aquatic habitats is demonstrated to limit the disease transmission.
引用
收藏
页数:17
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