Charging Coordination of Plug-in Electric Vehicles Considering Machine Learning Based State-of-Charge Prediction for Congestion Management in Distribution System

This article proposes a novel strategy for congestion mitigation in a distribution system by charging coordination strategy of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) considering grid-to-vehicle (G2V) and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) modes. The G2V mode of a large figure of PEVs creates a congestion scenario in the distribution system. Therefore, a coordinated charging strategy has been considered in this work to mitigate distribution system congestion. Moreover, a precise estimation and prediction of PEVs state-of-charge (SOC) is necessary while formulating PEVs coordinated strategy. The study of the work is two folded. First, for the first time, a combination of machine learning approach like gradient boosting method-Bayesian optimization (GBM-BO) is considered in prediction of PEVs SOC at the finishing of trip. Second, a coordinated charging scheme is established based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) and firefly algorithm (FA) using the PEVs SOC at the finishing of trip. The charging coordination strategy is analyzed on the 38-bus radial distribution system integrated with solar powered charging-cum parking lot (SPCPL). The machine learning based prediction results reveal the significant reduction in errors between predicted and calculated values. The results further reveal the reduction in PEVs charging cost and congestion scenario while considering SPCPL in the distribution system.