Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases

被引:15
|
作者
Lian, Xinbo [1 ]
Huang, Jianping [1 ]
Li, Han [1 ]
He, Yongli [1 ]
Ouyang, Zhi [1 ]
Fu, Songbo [2 ]
Zhao, Yingjie [1 ]
Wang, Danfeng [1 ]
Wang, Rui [1 ]
Guan, Xiaodan [1 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Western Ecol Safety, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[2] Lanzhou Univ, Hosp 1, Dept Endocrinol, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
关键词
COVID-19; Infectious diseases; Heat wave; Extreme events; WEATHER;
D O I
10.1016/j.envres.2023.116090
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under unchanged virus mutation influence and control policies. Using the attribution analysis based on the theoretical infectious diseases model simulation, we found the mechanism of the severe COVID-19 outbreak in the summer of 2022 and identified the amplification effect of heat wave events on its magnitude. The results suggest that approximately 69.3% of COVID-19 cases this summer could have been avoided if there is no heat waves. The collision between the pandemic and the heatwave is not an accident. Climate change is leading to more frequent extreme climate events and an increasing number of infectious diseases, posing an urgent threat to human health and life. Therefore, public health authorities must quickly develop coordinated management plans to deal with the simultaneous occurrence of extreme climate events and infectious diseases.
引用
收藏
页数:9
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