Heat waves accelerate the spread of infectious diseases

被引:15
|
作者
Lian, Xinbo [1 ]
Huang, Jianping [1 ]
Li, Han [1 ]
He, Yongli [1 ]
Ouyang, Zhi [1 ]
Fu, Songbo [2 ]
Zhao, Yingjie [1 ]
Wang, Danfeng [1 ]
Wang, Rui [1 ]
Guan, Xiaodan [1 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ, Coll Atmospher Sci, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Western Ecol Safety, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
[2] Lanzhou Univ, Hosp 1, Dept Endocrinol, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China
关键词
COVID-19; Infectious diseases; Heat wave; Extreme events; WEATHER;
D O I
10.1016/j.envres.2023.116090
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
COVID-19 pandemic appeared summer surge in 2022 worldwide and this contradicts its seasonal fluctuations. Even as high temperature and intense ultraviolet radiation can inhibit viral activity, the number of new cases worldwide has increased to >78% in only 1 month since the summer of 2022 under unchanged virus mutation influence and control policies. Using the attribution analysis based on the theoretical infectious diseases model simulation, we found the mechanism of the severe COVID-19 outbreak in the summer of 2022 and identified the amplification effect of heat wave events on its magnitude. The results suggest that approximately 69.3% of COVID-19 cases this summer could have been avoided if there is no heat waves. The collision between the pandemic and the heatwave is not an accident. Climate change is leading to more frequent extreme climate events and an increasing number of infectious diseases, posing an urgent threat to human health and life. Therefore, public health authorities must quickly develop coordinated management plans to deal with the simultaneous occurrence of extreme climate events and infectious diseases.
引用
收藏
页数:9
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Cold Waves Accelerate the Spread of Infectious Diseases
    Lian, Xinbo
    Huang, Jianping
    Li, Han
    Yan, Wei
    Zhao, Yingjie
    Wang, Rui
    GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2024, 51 (15)
  • [2] Global spread of infectious diseases
    Hsu, S
    Zee, A
    JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS, 2004, 12 (03) : 289 - 300
  • [3] Limit the Spread of Infectious Diseases
    Georgiev, Ivan
    Veleva, Evelina
    SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON NEW TRENDS IN THE APPLICATIONS OF DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS IN SCIENCES (NTADES 2020), 2021, 2321
  • [4] Economic sanctions and spread of infectious diseases
    Aloosh, Mehdi
    Aloosh, Arash
    HEALTH POLICY, 2023, 138
  • [5] A Model for the Spread of Infectious Diseases in a Region
    Hunter, Elizabeth
    Mac Namee, Brian
    Kelleher, John D.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH, 2020, 17 (09)
  • [6] Unpredictability in seasonal infectious diseases spread
    Gabrick, Enrique C.
    Sayari, Elaheh
    Protachevicz, Paulo R.
    Szezech Jr, Jose D.
    Iarosz, Kelly C.
    de Souza, Silvio L. T.
    Almeida, Alexandre C. L.
    Viana, Ricardo L.
    Caldas, Ibere L.
    Batista, Antonio M.
    CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2023, 166
  • [7] Forced Migration and the Spread of Infectious Diseases
    Ibanez, Ana Maria
    V. Rozo, Sandra
    Urbina, Maria J.
    JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS, 2021, 79
  • [8] Dishonesty is linked with the spread of infectious diseases
    Martini, Christina A.
    Bos, Bjoern
    Drupp, Moritz A.
    Meya, Jasper N.
    Quaas, Martin F.
    ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2024, 245
  • [9] Preventing the Spread of Infectious Diseases in Radiology
    Chamberlain, Toni
    RADIOLOGIC TECHNOLOGY, 2021, 92 (04) : 367 - 381
  • [10] Study on Spread Model of Infectious Diseases
    Yang, Yiying
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2016 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EDUCATION TECHNOLOGY, MANAGEMENT AND HUMANITIES SCIENCE, 2016, 50 : 459 - 462