[1] Univ North Carolina Chapel Hill, Dept Epidemiol, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
[2] London Sch Hygiene & Trop Med, Ctr Math Modelling Infect Dis, London WC1EW 7HT, England
[3] London Sch Hygiene & Trop Med, Dept Infect Dis Epidemiol, London WC1EW 7HT, England
[4] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Fac Infect & Trop Dis, Dept Infect Biol, London WC1E 7HT, England
[5] UCL, UCL Great Ormond St Inst Child Hlth, Dept Infect Immun & Inflammat, London WC1N 1EH, England
[6] UCL, UCL Great Ormond St Inst Child Hlth, Dept Genet & Genom Med, London WC1N1EH, England
[7] Great Ormond St Hosp Children NHS Fdn Trust, Dept Microbiol, London WC1N 3JH, England
[8] Univ Coll Cork, Dept Microbiol, Cork T12K8AF, Ireland