Using the two alternative measures of the ex-ante unexpected volatility shock, we show that the volatility feedback effect plays an important role in the intertemporal risk-return tradeoff. The empirical results indicate that the volatility feedback effect reinforces the positive risk-return relation conditional on bad market news but attenuates the relation under good market news. The results provide strong evidence that an extremely heightened risk-return tradeoff caused by a high level of volatility feedback effect might lead to a market crash, even with no macroeconomic uncertainties in the markets. Also, the results show that the asymmetric volatility feedback effect is attributable to the negative correlation between the concurrent volatility and a price change. The state-dependent volatility feedback effect is observed for different market conditions such as high and low market sentiments and business cycles.
机构:
Fed Reserve Bank Atlanta, 1000 Peachtree St NE, Atlanta, GA 30309 USAFed Reserve Bank Atlanta, 1000 Peachtree St NE, Atlanta, GA 30309 USA
Jensen, Mark J.
Maheu, John M.
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机构:
McMaster Univ, DeGroote Sch Business, 1280 Main St W, Hamilton, ON L8S 4M4, CanadaFed Reserve Bank Atlanta, 1000 Peachtree St NE, Atlanta, GA 30309 USA
Maheu, John M.
[J].
JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT,
2018,
11
(03):
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Sun, Xiaolei
Li, Jianping
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机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Li, Jianping
Tang, Ling
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机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Tang, Ling
Wu, Dengsheng
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机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Chinese Acad Sci, Grad Univ, Beijing 100049, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Policy & Management, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Cincinnati, Carl H Lindner Coll Business, POB 210,195, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USAUniv Cincinnati, Carl H Lindner Coll Business, POB 210,195, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
Guo, Hui
Pai, Yu-Jou
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机构:
Concordia Univ, Dept Finance, MB 12-221,1450 Guy St, Montreal, PQ H3H 0A1, CanadaUniv Cincinnati, Carl H Lindner Coll Business, POB 210,195, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA