An Exponential Autoregressive Time Series Model for Complex Data

被引:1
|
作者
Hesamian, Gholamreza [1 ]
Torkian, Faezeh [1 ]
Johannssen, Arne [2 ]
Chukhrova, Nataliya [2 ]
机构
[1] Payame Noor Univ, Dept Stat, Tehran 193953697, Iran
[2] Univ Hamburg, Fac Business Adm, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
关键词
AR model; ARMA model; fuzzy nonlinear time series; fuzzy data; time series analysis; REGRESSION-MODEL; HYBRID MODEL; FORECASTING-MODEL; FUZZY;
D O I
10.3390/math11194022
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
In this paper, an exponential autoregressive model for complex time series data is presented. As for estimating the parameters of this nonlinear model, a three-step procedure based on quantile methods is proposed. This quantile-based estimation technique has the benefit of being more robust compared to least/absolute squares. The performance of the introduced exponential autoregressive model is evaluated by means of four established goodness-of-fit criteria. The practical utility of the novel time series model is showcased through a comparative analysis involving simulation studies and real-world data illustrations.
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页数:12
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