Modelling time-varying growth in state-space stock assessments

被引:1
|
作者
Correa, Giancarlo M. [1 ]
Monnahan, Cole C. [2 ]
Sullivan, Jane Y. [3 ]
Thorson, James T. [2 ]
Punt, Andre E. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Washington, Sch Aquat & Fishery Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[2] NOAA, Alaska Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
[3] NOAA, Alaska Fisheries Sci Ctr, Natl Marine Fisheries Serv, Juneau, AK 99801 USA
关键词
growth; random effects; size-at-age; weight-at-age; Woods Hole Assessment Model (WHAM); AUTOMATIC DIFFERENTIATION; AGE; RECRUITMENT; SELECTIVITY; LIKELIHOOD; BIAS;
D O I
10.1093/icesjms/fsad133
中图分类号
S9 [水产、渔业];
学科分类号
0908 ;
摘要
State-space assessment models (SSMs) have garnered attention recently because of their ability to estimate time variation in biological and fisheries processes such as recruitment, natural mortality, catchability, and selectivity. However, current SSMs cannot model time-varying growth internally nor accept length data, limiting their use. Here, we expand the Woods Hole Assessment Model to incorporate new approaches to modelling changes in growth using a combination of parametric and nonparametric approaches while fitting to length and weight data. We present these new features and apply them to data for three important Alaskan stocks with distinct data and model needs. We conduct a "selftest" simulation experiment to ensure the unbiasedness and statistical efficiency of model estimates and predictions. This research presents the first SSM that can be applied when length data are a key source of information, variation in growth is an essential part of the dynamics of the assessed stock, or when linking climate variables to growth in hindcasts or forecasts is relevant. Consequently, the state-space approach and growth estimation can be applied to more fish stocks worldwide, facilitating real-world applications and implementation of simulation experiments for performance evaluation of SSMs for the many stocks whose assessments rely on length data.
引用
下载
收藏
页码:2036 / 2049
页数:14
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Estimation and prediction of time-varying GARCH models through a state-space representation: a computational approach
    Ferreira, Guillermo
    Navarrete, Jean P.
    Rodriguez-Cortes, Francisco J.
    Mateu, Jorge
    JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL COMPUTATION AND SIMULATION, 2017, 87 (12) : 2430 - 2449
  • [42] Robust stability bounds on structured time-varying independent perturbations for linear state-space models
    Chou, Jyh-Horng
    JSME International Journal, Series C: Dynamics, Control, Robotics, Design and Manufacturing, 1994, 37 (04): : 733 - 738
  • [43] ROBUSTNESS OF STABILITY OF LINEAR STATE-SPACE SYSTEMS WITH RESPECT TO TIME-VARYING, NONLINEAR AND DYNAMIC PERTURBATIONS
    HINRICHSEN, D
    PRITCHARD, AJ
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 28TH IEEE CONFERENCE ON DECISION AND CONTROL, VOLS 1-3, 1989, : 52 - 53
  • [44] A state-space approach to semi-blind adaptive multiuser detection in time-varying environment
    Khan, NM
    Rapajic, PB
    2005 ASIA-PACIFIC CONFERENCE ON COMMUNICATIONS (APCC), VOLS 1& 2, 2005, : 1024 - 1027
  • [45] Representing time-varying cyclic dynamics using multiple-subject state-space models
    Chow, Sy-Miin
    Hamaker, Ellen L.
    Fujita, Frank
    Boker, Steven M.
    BRITISH JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL & STATISTICAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2009, 62 : 683 - 716
  • [46] Consumption growth and time-varying expected stock returns
    Moller, Stig Vinther
    FINANCE RESEARCH LETTERS, 2008, 5 (03) : 129 - 136
  • [47] Steady-state tracking analysis of the RLS algorithm for time-varying channels: A general state-space approach
    Leon, WS
    Taylor, DP
    IEEE COMMUNICATIONS LETTERS, 2003, 7 (05) : 236 - 238
  • [48] Robust H∞ filtering for linear discrete-time state-space models with uncertain time-varying parameters
    Barbosa, KA
    Trofino, A
    de Souza, CE
    2002 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ACOUSTICS, SPEECH, AND SIGNAL PROCESSING, VOLS I-IV, PROCEEDINGS, 2002, : 1389 - 1392
  • [49] ROBUST STABILITY BOUNDS ON TIME-VARYING PERTURBATIONS FOR STATE-SPACE MODELS OF LINEAR DISCRETE-TIME-SYSTEMS
    KOLLA, SR
    YEDAVALLI, RK
    FARISON, JB
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL, 1989, 50 (01) : 151 - 159
  • [50] Performance of stock assessments with misspecified age- and time-varying natural mortality
    Deroba, Jonathan J.
    Schueller, Amy M.
    FISHERIES RESEARCH, 2013, 146 : 27 - 40