A Formal Approach to Model the Expansion of Natural Events: The Case of Infectious Diseases

被引：0
|
作者：
Signes-Pont, Maria Teresa [1 ]
Boters-Pitarch, Joan [1 ]
Szymanski, Julian [2 ]
Mora-Mora, Higinio [1 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Alicante, Ctra SanVicente Raspeig S-N, Alicante 03690, Spain
[2] Gdansk Univ Technol, Fac ETI, Gdansk, Poland
来源：
PARALLEL PROCESSING LETTERS | 2023年 / 33卷 / 04期
关键词：
Infectious disease expansion; epidemiology; formal approach; mathematical modeling;
D O I：
10.1142/S0129626423400157
中图分类号：
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号：
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要：
A formal approach to modeling the expansion of natural events is presented in this paper. Since the mathematical, statistical or computational methods used are not relevant for development, a modular framework is carried out that guides from the external observation down to the innermost level of the variables that have to appear in the future mathematical-computational formalization. As an example we analyze the expansion of Covid-19. We perform a qualitative estimation of the impact of the causes on the delays of the spread and an analysis of the parameters.
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页数：11
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