A Dual-Attention-Mechanism Multi-Channel Convolutional LSTM for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction

被引:4
|
作者
He, Jinhui [1 ]
Yang, Hao [1 ,2 ]
Zhou, Shijie [2 ]
Chen, Jing [3 ]
Chen, Min [1 ]
机构
[1] Chengdu Univ Informat Technol, Dept Comp Sci, Chengdu 610225, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Informat & Software Engn, Chengdu 611731, Peoples R China
[3] CMA, Earth Syst Modeling & Predict Ctr CEMC, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
基金
国家重点研发计划;
关键词
machine learning; weather forecasting and nowcasting; short-term wind forecasting; MODEL;
D O I
10.3390/atmos14010071
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Accurate wind speed prediction plays a crucial role in wind power generation and disaster avoidance. However, stochasticity and instability increase the difficulty of wind speed prediction. In this study, we proposed a dual-attention mechanism multi-channel convolutional LSTM (DACLSTM), collected European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) near-ground element-grid data from some parts of North China, and selected elements with high correlations with wind speed to form multiple channels. We used a convolutional network for the feature extraction of spatial information, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network for the feature extraction of time-series information, and used channel attention with spatial attention for feature extraction. The experimental results show that the DACLSTM model can improve the accuracy of six-hour lead time wind speed prediction relative to the traditional ConvLSTM model and fully connected network long short-term memory (FC_LSTM).
引用
收藏
页数:17
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