Use of a radiomics-clinical model based on magnetic diffusion-weighted imaging for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer patients

Rectal cancer is the eighth most prevalent malignancy worldwide with a 3.2% mortality rate and 3.9% incidence rate. Radiologists still have difficulty in correctly diagnosing lymph node metastases that have been suspected preoperatively. To assess the effectiveness of a model combining clinical and radiomics features for the preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer. We retrospectively analyzed data from 104 patients with rectal cancer. All patients were selected as samples for the training (n = 72) and validation cohorts (n = 32). Lymph nodes (LNs) in diffusion-weighted images were analyzed to obtain 842 radiomic characteristics, which were then used to draw the region of interest. Logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and between-group and within-group correlation analyses were combined to establish the radiomic score (rad-score). Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to estimate the prediction accuracy of the model. A calibration curve was constructed to test the predictive ability of the model. A decision curve analysis was performed to analyze the model's value in clinical application. The area under the curve for the radiomics-clinical, clinical, and radiomics models was 0.856, 0.810, and 0.781, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.880, 0.849, and 0.827, respectively, in the validation cohort. The calibration curve and DCA showed that the radiomics-clinical prediction model had good prediction accuracy, which was higher than that of the other models. The radiomics-clinical model showed a favorable predictive performance for the preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in patients with rectal cancer.