Towards an objective historical tropical cyclone dataset for the Australian region

被引:0
|
作者
Joseph B.Courtney [1 ]
ANDrew D.Burton [1 ]
Christopher S.Velden [2 ]
Timothy L.OlANDer [2 ]
Elizabeth A.Ritchie [3 ]
Clair Stark [3 ]
Leon Majewski [1 ]
机构
[1] Bureau of Meteorology
[2] CIMSS, University of Wisconsin-Madison
[3] University of New South Wales
关键词
Objective; tropical; cyclone; reanalysis; satellite; intensity; ADT;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
P444 [热带气象];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The appropriate design of infrastructure in tropical cyclone(TC) prone regions requires an understanding of the hazard risk profile underpinned by an accurate, homogenous long-term TC dataset. The existing Australian region TC archive, or ’best track’(BT), suffers from inhomogeneities and an incomplete long-term record of key TC parameters. This study assesses mostly satellite-based objective techniques for 1981-2016, the period of a geostationary satellite imagery dataset corrected for navigation and calibration issues. The satellite-based estimates of Australian-region TCs suffer from a general degradation in the 1981 -1988 period owing to lower quality and availability of satellite imagery.The quality of the objective techniques for both intensity and structure is compared to the reference BT 2003-2016 estimates. For intensity the Advanced Dvorak Technique algorithm corresponds well with the BT 2003-2016, when the algorithm can use passive microwave data(PMW) as an input. For the period prior to 2003 when PMW data is unavailable, the intensity algorithm has a low bias. Systematic corrections were made to the non-PMW objective estimates to produce an extended(1989-2016) homogeneous dataset of maximum wind that has sufficient accuracy to be considered for use where a larger homogeneous sample size is valued over a shorter more accurate period of record. An associated record of central pressure using the Courtney-Knaff-Zehr wind pressure relationship was created.For size estimates, three techniques were investigated: the Deviation Angle Variance and the ’Knaff’ techniques(IR-based), while the ’Lok’ technique used model information(ECMWF reanalysis dataset and TC vortex specification from ACCESS-TC). However, results lacked sufficient skill to enable extension of the reliable period of record. The availability of scatterometer data makes the BT 2003-2016 dataset the most reliable and accurate. Recommendations regarding the best data source for each parameter for different periods of the record are summarised.
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页码:23 / 36
页数:14
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