Analysis on China's Labor Supply and Demand Trend for a Long-term

被引：0
|
作者：
Xia Lun [1 ]
机构：
[1] ZhongNan University of Economics and Law
来源：
China Population Today | 2014年 / 03期
关键词：
Analysis on China’s Labor Supply and Demand Trend for a Long-term;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
C924.2 [中国人口];
学科分类号：
1407 ;
摘要：
The paper take Leslie method to forecast China’s total population and its age distribution structure from 2015 to 2050,and then predict the total labor supply of the working-age population,estimate the total demand for labor according to the employment elasticity of the economic growth,calculated the gap between labor supply and demand.The results show that both the labor supply and demand showed a decreasing trend,but the supply reduced faster than demand,after 2015,the labor market appears shortage,the gap between supply and demand will exist for a long time and have a tendency to expand.Facing of the new situation and new problems of the labor market,we recommend some corresponding policy.
引用
收藏
页码：41 / 41
页数：1
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