Prediction of the Extreme Values and the OptimalRatios of Triple Jump Based on the Grey System Theory

被引:0
|
作者
XU Ming(Department of physical Education
机构
关键词
grey theory; extreme value; triple jump;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
N94 [系统科学];
学科分类号
0711 ; 081103 ; 1201 ;
摘要
We have applied the grey system theory to study triple jumps. In this Paper we introducethe grey system theory, apply it to establish a monotonic sequence nonlinear Verhulst differentialdynamic model. Using that model and the triple jump records in recent 45 years we calculate thefuture extreme values of world triple jump, predict the optimal apportionment among the three phases,and study the tendency of development of triple jumP techniques and strategy. Every event has itsown development, maturity and peak periods. Our study helps coaches and athletes to develop theirstrategy on a scientific base. Based on the grey system theory we predict that the record of worldtriple jump will finally approach 20.65m. The distance of hop, step, and jump will approach 7.56m,6.06m, and 7.03m respectively. The apportionment will approach 36.6% for hop. 29.4% for step, and34.00% for jump. According to our calculation the tendency of development is to follow the model ofthe Russian style basically, and at the same time to absorb the advantage of the Polish style to place agreater emphasis on the distance of the distance of the third phase.
引用
收藏
页码:40 / 50
页数:11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Research on Duration Prediction of the Coupled Task Set based on the Grey System Theory
    Jia, Peng
    Gao, Qi
    Xu, Rongzhen
    Zheng, Xiaochen
    Liu, Gang
    ADVANCES IN MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY, PTS 1-4, 2012, 220-223 : 169 - 173
  • [22] Prediction of mining step in strong mine earthquake based on grey system theory
    Wang, Kai
    Liu, Kuan
    RESOURCES AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT, PTS 1-4, 2013, 734-737 : 594 - 600
  • [23] A Grey System Theory in Construction Industry Default Prediction
    Huang, Wen-Haw
    Tserng, Hui-Ping
    Chen, Po-Cheng
    ManhDuy Nguyen
    ADVANCES IN CIVIL ENGINEERING AND BUILDING MATERIALS III, 2014, 831 : 495 - 500
  • [24] Application of Grey System Theory to tree growth prediction
    Wang Jing
    Hou Yuesong
    Li Weilin
    Cheng Wenhui
    Journal of Forestry Research, 2000, 11 (1) : 34 - 36
  • [25] The prediction of cutting parameter using grey system theory
    Wu, FJ
    Pang, XH
    Li, MQ
    ISTM/2005: 6TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON TEST AND MEASUREMENT, VOLS 1-9, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS, 2005, : 4586 - 4588
  • [26] The prediction of cutting parameter using grey system theory
    Pang, XH
    Wu, WG
    Chang, X
    PROGRESS OF MACHINING TECHNOLOGY, 2004, : 759 - 762
  • [27] Application of Grey System Theory in the Stock Market Prediction
    Wang, Fenglan
    Wang, ChangFa
    2013 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ECONOMIC, BUSINESS MANAGEMENT AND EDUCATION INNOVATION (EBMEI 2013), VOL 19, 2013, 19 : 133 - 136
  • [28] Application of Grey System Theory to tree growth prediction
    王晶
    侯月松
    李伟林
    成文惠
    JournalofForestryResearch, 2000, (01) : 34 - 36
  • [29] Rule-based prediction of rare extreme values
    Ribeiro, Rita
    Torgo, Luis
    DISCOVERY SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS, 2006, 4265 : 219 - 230
  • [30] Prediction of pitting corrosion behavior for stainless SUS 630 based on grey system theory
    Ma, Fong Yuan
    Wang, Wei Hui
    MATERIALS LETTERS, 2007, 61 (4-5) : 998 - 1001