碳中和目标下的若干地球系统科学和技术问题分析

被引:43
|
作者
蔡兆男 [1 ]
成里京 [1 ,2 ]
李婷婷 [1 ,2 ,3 ]
郑循华 [1 ,2 ]
王林 [1 ,2 ]
韩圣慧 [1 ,2 ]
王凯 [1 ,2 ]
屈侠 [1 ,2 ]
江飞 [4 ]
张永雨 [5 ]
朱建华 [6 ]
龙上敏 [7 ]
孙扬 [1 ]
贾炳浩 [1 ]
袁文平 [8 ]
张天一 [1 ]
张晴 [1 ]
谢瑾博 [1 ]
朱家文 [1 ]
刘志强 [1 ]
吴琳 [1 ]
杨东旭 [1 ]
魏科 [1 ]
吴林 [1 ,2 ]
张稳 [1 ]
刘毅 [1 ,2 ]
曹军骥 [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] 中国科学院大气物理研究所
[2] 中国科学院大学地球与行星科学学院
[3] 南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室
[4] 南京大学国际地球系统科学研究所
[5] 中国科学院青岛生物能源与过程研究所
[6] 中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所
[7] 河海大学海洋学院
[8] 中山大学大气科学学院
关键词
碳中和; 碳源; 碳汇; 温室气体; 气候变化; 地球系统模式; 气候监测;
D O I
10.16418/j.issn.1000-3045.20210402002
中图分类号
P3 [地球物理学];
学科分类号
0708 ;
摘要
碳中和作为21世纪最大规模的有序人类活动,亟待科学应对。文章从地球系统科学角度,讨论了支撑"碳达峰、碳中和"目标的大气、陆地和海洋相关的地球系统科学中的若干科学和技术问题及现存的知识不足。从地球系统模式、气候监测指标、温室气体监测技术、碳源/汇核算方法体系等方面,阐述了支撑碳中和的关键技术手段及现存的问题。基于目前存在的挑战和不足,建议深入理解气候系统多圈层相互作用过程和机制,完善地球系统理论与模式,从多圈层角度加强"碳达峰、碳中和"目标和气候变化理论基础;自主构建气候变化监测指标系统,研发温室气体监测与核查手段和平台,为碳中和目标提供先进的技术手段支撑。
引用
收藏
页码:602 / 613
页数:12
相关论文
共 53 条
  • [31] The Paris Agreement zero-emissions goal is not always consistent with the 1.5?°C and 2?°C temperature targets[J] . Katsumasa Tanaka,Brian C. O’Neill.Nature Climate Change . 2018 (4)
  • [32] The Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (CDRMIP): rationale and experimental protocol for CMIP6[J] . David P. Keller,Andrew Lenton,Vivian Scott,Naomi E. Vaughan,Nico Bauer,Duoying Ji,Chris D. Jones,Ben Kravitz,Helene Muri,Kirsten Zickfeld.Geoscientific Model Development . 2018 (3)
  • [33] The Roles of Convection Parameterization in the Formation of Double ITCZ Syndrome in the NCAR CESM: I. Atmospheric Processes[J] . Xiaoliang Song,Guang J. Zhang.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems . 2018 (3)
  • [34] Different multiyear mean temperature in midsummer of South China under different 15u2009°C warming scenarios[J] . Xia Qu,Gang Huang.Scientific Reports . 2018 (1)
  • [35] Understanding the Asian summer monsoon response to greenhouse warming: the relative roles of direct radiative forcing and sea surface temperature change[J] . Xiaoqiong Li,Mingfang Ting.Climate Dynamics . 2017 (7-8)
  • [36] Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming
    Good, Peter
    Booth, Ben B. B.
    Chadwick, Robin
    Hawkins, Ed
    Jonko, Alexandra
    Lowe, Jason A.
    [J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2016, 7
  • [37] CH<sub>4</sub> exchanges of the natural ecosystems in China during the past three decades: The role of wetland extent and its dynamics[J] . Da Wei,Xiaodan Wang.Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences . 2016 (9)
  • [38] A comprehensive estimate of recent carbon sinks in China using both top-down and bottom-up approaches
    Jiang, Fei
    Chen, Jing M.
    Zhou, Lingxi
    Ju, Weimin
    Zhang, Huifang
    Machida, Toshinobu
    Ciais, Philippe
    Peters, Wouter
    Wang, Hengmao
    Chen, Baozhang
    Liu, Lixin
    Zhang, Chunhua
    Matsueda, Hidekazu
    Sawa, Yousuke
    [J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2016, 6
  • [39] Top-down assessment of the Asian carbon budget since the mid 1990s
    Thompson, R. L.
    Patra, P. K.
    Chevallier, F.
    Maksyutov, S.
    Law, R. M.
    Ziehn, T.
    van der Laan-Luijkx, I. T.
    Peters, W.
    Ganshin, A.
    Zhuravlev, R.
    Maki, T.
    Nakamura, T.
    Shirai, T.
    Ishizawa, M.
    Saeki, T.
    Machida, T.
    Poulter, B.
    Canadell, J. G.
    Ciais, P.
    [J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2016, 7
  • [40] Quantifying carbon input for targeted soil organic carbon sequestration in China's croplands
    Wang, Guocheng
    Huang, Yao
    Zhang, Wen
    Yu, Yongqiang
    Sun, Wenjuan
    [J]. PLANT AND SOIL, 2015, 394 (1-2) : 57 - 71