TIME SERIES MODEL OF LONG-RANGE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION

被引：2
|
作者：
曹鸿兴
魏凤英
王永中
机构：
[1] Beijing Meteorological Institute
[2] Beijing
[3] Academy of Meteorological Science State Metcorological Administration
来源：
Journal of Meteorological Research | 1990年 / 01期
关键词：
TIME SERIES MODEL OF LONG-RANGE PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION; MGF;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
By generalizing the concept of mean in mathematical statistics to a mean generation function(MGF),the extended matrix of MGF is defined and then a new model of time series is presented.A calculatingsehemefor modelling of monovariate time series is deduced cooperating with a normalization procedure of vectorand a couple score criterion.An example of climatic prediction for ten-year scale is given in this paper,thetendency of variation for every year can be predicted skillfully with the model.
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页码：120 / 127
页数：8
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