Accelerated failure time analysis for industrial life modeling in presence of unknown dependent and independent censoring
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作者:
Wilke, Ralf A.
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Copenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Porcelaenshaven 16A, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, DenmarkCopenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Porcelaenshaven 16A, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark
Wilke, Ralf A.
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Lo, Simon M. S.
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United Arab Emirates Univ, Dept Econ & Finance, Al Ain, U Arab EmiratesCopenhagen Business Sch, Dept Econ, Porcelaenshaven 16A, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark
Industrial lifetime testing is one of the key procedures for industrial engineers to assess the quality of products or materials. Reliability analysis is hampered by data incompleteness resulting from multiple failure types, with only the first occurring failure being observable. This leads to major uncertainties about the fitted failure probabilities unless the model satisfies some restrictions that are often difficult to verify. This article contributes to the reliability literature by showing that state-of-the-art statistical models under weak parametric assumptions give informative estimates of failure probabilities. We introduce a new semiparametric bootstrap-based model selection test that allows for testing the validity of these restrictions. Our approach supports the engineer in crafting a parametric model based on data that gives informative results. An empirical analysis of aircraft radio lifetimes demonstrates the estimation of critical model components under various model specifications. The model selection test guides the engineer to select the model with the best fit. We illustrate the practical relevance of data-driven bias reduction techniques for models with dependent censoring.
机构:
Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China
Wang, Peijie
Zhao, Hui
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Cent China Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R China
Cent China Normal Univ, Hubei Key Lab Math Sci, Wuhan 430079, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China
Zhao, Hui
Sun, Jianguo
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Univ Missouri, Dept Stat, Columbia, MO 65211 USAJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Math, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Math, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Sun, Liuquan
Song, Xinyuan
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Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Stat, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Math, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
Song, Xinyuan
Zhou, Jie
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Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Math, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, Inst Appl Math, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
机构:
Northeast Normal Univ, Key Lab Appl Stat MOE, Changchun, Peoples R China
Northeast Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Changchun, Peoples R ChinaNortheast Normal Univ, Key Lab Appl Stat MOE, Changchun, Peoples R China
Xu, Da
Zhao, Shishun
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Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Ctr Appl Stat Res, Changchun 130012, Peoples R ChinaNortheast Normal Univ, Key Lab Appl Stat MOE, Changchun, Peoples R China
Zhao, Shishun
Sun, Jianguo
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Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Ctr Appl Stat Res, Changchun 130012, Peoples R ChinaNortheast Normal Univ, Key Lab Appl Stat MOE, Changchun, Peoples R China