We evaluate the aggregate and distributional effects of climate change mitigation policies using a multi-sector equilibrium model with intersectoral input-output linkages and worker heterogeneity, calibrated to various countries. Carbon taxes induce changes in relative prices and input reallocation, notably in labour. In the United States, achieving its Paris Agreement commitment results in, at most, a 0.8% reduction in output, unevenly affecting different sectors and individuals. Some workers in dirty energy sectors, forming less than 2% of the labour force, endure welfare losses six times larger than others. China, reliant on high-carbon energy, experiences larger economic effects from an identical emission reduction.
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Calif State Univ San Bernardino, Coll Social & Behav Sci, Dept Econ, San Bernardino, CA 92407 USAUniv Arizona, Dept Agr & Resource Econ, 319 Cesar Chavez Bldg, Tucson, AZ 85721 USA
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World Bank, Climate Change Grp, Washington, DC 20433 USA
Purdue Univ, Ctr Global Trade Anal, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USAWorld Bank, Climate Change Grp, Washington, DC 20433 USA
Kabir, Kayenat
Robbe, Sophie de Vries
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Seven Generat Capital Corp, N Vancouver, BC, CanadaWorld Bank, Climate Change Grp, Washington, DC 20433 USA
Robbe, Sophie de Vries
Godinho, Catrina
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New Climate Inst, Berlin, GermanyWorld Bank, Climate Change Grp, Washington, DC 20433 USA
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Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Univ York, Stockholm Environm Inst, York YO10 5DD, N Yorkshire, EnglandUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Feng, Kuishuang
Hubacek, Klaus
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Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Univ Maryland, Dept Geog, College Pk, MD 20742 USAUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Hubacek, Klaus
Guan, Dabo
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Univ Cambridge, Dept Land Econ, Cambridge Ctr Climate Change Mitigat Res, Cambridge CB3 9EP, EnglandUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Guan, Dabo
Contestabile, Monica
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WWF UK, Godalming GU7 1XR, Surrey, EnglandUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Contestabile, Monica
Minx, Jan
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Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
Tech Univ Berlin, Dept Econ Climate Change, D-10623 Berlin, GermanyUniv Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Sustainabil Res Inst, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England