Can Path Dependence Explain the Evolution of the Interaction Between Industrial Structure and Urban Morphology? - A Case Study of Changsha Ancient City, China

This paper studies the interplay mechanism relating urban morphology and industrial structure, a complex and dynamic relation. We use the path dependence method to analyze the interaction. In detail, by analyzing the critical junctures, driving mechanisms and lock-in effects, we try to discover how urban morphology and industrial structure interact and shape each other at different stages. Changsha, located in south China, is used as the case study to illustrate how to apply the analytic method. This result shows the existence of multiple path dependencies in urban morphology and industrial development, which underlie the formation of continuous industrial development trajectories. The study reveals a reciprocal causal link underlying the co-evolution of industrial structure and urban morphology. The study underlines that by thoroughly examining local development history, more practical avenues for industrial transformation are explained. Further, it shows that targeted interventions contribute to strategic transformation and sustainable development.