Synchronization and Rebound Effects in Residential Loads

Increasing fuel prices and capacity investment deferral place an increasing demand for peak reduction from distribution level systems. Residential and commercial devices, such as HVAC systems and water heaters, are increasingly involved in load control programs, and their use may generate synchronization and rebound effects, such as artificial peaks caused by device optimization. While there have been concerns over device synchronization, few studies quantify the extent of this effect with numerical values. In this study, we attempt to investigate whether control efforts result in device synchronization or rebound effects. We focus on three clustering methods - Ward's clustering, Euclidean K-means, and Density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise - to evaluate the extent of synchronization of a fleet of water heaters and HVAC systems in Atlanta, Georgia. Our findings show that synchronization and rebound effects are present in the neighborhood's water heaters, but none were found in the HVAC systems. Further, high usage water heaters are more susceptible to synchronization and rebound effects.