A comparative review of de- and post-growth modeling studies

被引:4
|
作者
Lauer, Arthur [1 ,2 ]
Capellan-Perez, Inigo [1 ,3 ]
Wergles, Nathalie [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Valladolid, Grp Energy Econ & Syst Dynam GEEDS, Paseo Cauce S-N, Valladolid 47011, Spain
[2] Univ Valladolid, Dept Appl Econ, Ave Valle Esgueva 6, Valladolid 47011, Spain
[3] Univ Valladolid, Dept Syst Engn & Automat Control, Escuela Ingn Ind, Paseo Cauce S-N, Valladolid 47011, Spain
关键词
Degrowth; Post-growth; Modeling; Policy evaluation; Scenarios; Transition; HAPPY DEGROWTH; GROWTH; ENERGY; ECONOMICS; REFLECTIONS; CONSTRAINTS; UNCERTAINTY; CONSUMPTION; INEQUALITY; COUNTRIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108383
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
In recent years, a small but rapidly growing field of modeling alternatives to growth as represented by the de(DG) and post-growth (PG) discourses has emerged. We compare selected model characteristics of 75 DG and PG related modeling studies, compiled through a systematic literature review (2000-2023), and link model structures and results to different theoretically contested debates surrounding DG/PG. The reviewed studies cover different geographical and temporal scopes, economic theories, modeling techniques and operationalizations of DG/PG. The majority of studies models DG/PG as intentional transition and does not question its compatibility with a capitalist system, while more radical strands of the DG/PG discourse are excluded. Although DG/PG modeling exercises frequently explore the effects of sustainability policies, they represent only a fraction of theoretical DG policy proposals, with the most frequent being: working time reduction, maximum income caps, carbon taxes and a universal basic income. DG/PG modeling studies have demonstrated the importance of integrating biophysical constraints in economic modeling but also have quantitatively assessed the feasibility of environmental integrity and social well-being without growth. Nonetheless, future modeling could be rendered more realistic by paying more attention to the Global South, introducing heterogeneous agents driving sustainability transitions and including multiple planetary boundaries.
引用
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页数:14
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